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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing 14:44 - Sep 21 with 6249 viewsThisIsMyUsername

Sounds promising.

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/politics/2023/09/19/britain-rejoin-eu-associate-memb

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:01 - Sep 22 with 2853 viewsjayessess

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 14:00 - Sep 22 by MattinLondon

It won’t happen of course, but I do think that it’ll be interesting if the Tories suddenly performed a gigantic U-Turn and proposed rejoining the EU but on the same terms which the country left.

They’ll have Labour on the ropes - will they campaign to stay out in the next election which will attract the rabid brexiters. Or echo the Tories and risk being seen as their shadow and not having policies of their own.

It’ll put a lot of people in a very awkward position.


Unpopular left-wing leaders are invariably confronted with enormous pressure to "move to the centre" and look to attract supporters from the other side of the ideological divide, the same is rarely true for right-wing leaders.

This Conservative Government has been drowning in the polls for nearly two years now, I've never seen any pundit suggest they could arrest that unpopularity by moving towards their opponents on any question (be it Brexit, environmentalism, culture war, immigration, public sector pay). More the opposite, the worse their polling gets, the more they're encouraged to play to their own supporters.
[Post edited 22 Sep 2023 15:45]

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:18 - Sep 22 with 2819 viewsgiant_stow

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 18:24 - Sep 21 by factual_blue

The Pound is rubbish and best forgotten. It was ruined by Churchill back in the 1920s.


Was that when we left the Gold Standard? Not to mess with a historian like you, didn't that save us from the worst of the 30s depression? Could be wrong.

Anyway, I'm a remainer who likes the pound and the control / flexibility it gives us - joining the Euro doesn't seem wise when every European county is in a different situation. Sorry to break rank fellow remainers.

Has anyone ever looked at their own postings for last day or so? Oh my... so sorry. Was Ullaa
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:31 - Sep 22 with 2793 viewsThisIsMyUsername

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 14:00 - Sep 22 by MattinLondon

It won’t happen of course, but I do think that it’ll be interesting if the Tories suddenly performed a gigantic U-Turn and proposed rejoining the EU but on the same terms which the country left.

They’ll have Labour on the ropes - will they campaign to stay out in the next election which will attract the rabid brexiters. Or echo the Tories and risk being seen as their shadow and not having policies of their own.

It’ll put a lot of people in a very awkward position.


Christ I hope not.

It'd make more people more likely to vote for them, and then they will probably back out of doing it anyway.

Poll: Which of these events will happen the soonest?

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 16:01 - Sep 22 with 2766 viewsjayessess

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:18 - Sep 22 by giant_stow

Was that when we left the Gold Standard? Not to mess with a historian like you, didn't that save us from the worst of the 30s depression? Could be wrong.

Anyway, I'm a remainer who likes the pound and the control / flexibility it gives us - joining the Euro doesn't seem wise when every European county is in a different situation. Sorry to break rank fellow remainers.


As Chancellor of the Exchequer Churchill reintroduces a version of the Gold Standard in 1925. It's technically slightly different from the pre-FWW version.

Depends what you mean from "worst of the '30s depression" really. The 1925 Gold Standard over-values the pound, which depresses trade (and contributes to the mid-1920s depression and the General Strike). It's deflationary though, so maybe holds down inflation post-1929 (wouldn't have helped with unemployment mind and blind adherence to fiscal orthodoxy is what breaks the 1929-31 Labour Government).

Blog: What Now? Taking a Look at Life in League One

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 16:32 - Sep 22 with 2737 viewsgiant_stow

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 16:01 - Sep 22 by jayessess

As Chancellor of the Exchequer Churchill reintroduces a version of the Gold Standard in 1925. It's technically slightly different from the pre-FWW version.

Depends what you mean from "worst of the '30s depression" really. The 1925 Gold Standard over-values the pound, which depresses trade (and contributes to the mid-1920s depression and the General Strike). It's deflationary though, so maybe holds down inflation post-1929 (wouldn't have helped with unemployment mind and blind adherence to fiscal orthodoxy is what breaks the 1929-31 Labour Government).


Interesting stuff, thanks. Rather than argue a point I'm ill-equipped for, I'll take what you're saying!

Has anyone ever looked at their own postings for last day or so? Oh my... so sorry. Was Ullaa
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 17:34 - Sep 22 with 2707 viewsjayessess

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 16:32 - Sep 22 by giant_stow

Interesting stuff, thanks. Rather than argue a point I'm ill-equipped for, I'll take what you're saying!


If it's the kind of thing that you'd like to learn more about, Barry Eichengreen, Golden Fetters, is a good book (I am a historian, but economic history isn't technically my specialty!).

Blog: What Now? Taking a Look at Life in League One

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 18:17 - Sep 22 with 2690 viewsgiant_stow

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 17:34 - Sep 22 by jayessess

If it's the kind of thing that you'd like to learn more about, Barry Eichengreen, Golden Fetters, is a good book (I am a historian, but economic history isn't technically my specialty!).


Appreciate the recommendation - I do have a non-academic interest* in that sort of thing, so mean it.

*as in not studying - just for its own sake.
[Post edited 22 Sep 2023 18:17]

Has anyone ever looked at their own postings for last day or so? Oh my... so sorry. Was Ullaa
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 19:08 - Sep 22 with 2674 viewsjayessess

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 18:17 - Sep 22 by giant_stow

Appreciate the recommendation - I do have a non-academic interest* in that sort of thing, so mean it.

*as in not studying - just for its own sake.
[Post edited 22 Sep 2023 18:17]


for its own sake is the best reason to read anything really!

Blog: What Now? Taking a Look at Life in League One

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 19:22 - Sep 22 with 2672 viewsEwan_Oozami

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:18 - Sep 22 by giant_stow

Was that when we left the Gold Standard? Not to mess with a historian like you, didn't that save us from the worst of the 30s depression? Could be wrong.

Anyway, I'm a remainer who likes the pound and the control / flexibility it gives us - joining the Euro doesn't seem wise when every European county is in a different situation. Sorry to break rank fellow remainers.


Not all remainers are in favour of joining the Euro....

You are the obsolete SRN4 to my Fairey Rotodyne....
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 19:41 - Sep 22 with 2663 viewsGlasgowBlue

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 19:22 - Sep 22 by Ewan_Oozami

Not all remainers are in favour of joining the Euro....


But all people in favour of joining the Euro are remainers

Hey now, hey now, don't dream it's over
Poll: What will be announced first?
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 08:39 - Sep 23 with 2573 viewsWeWereZombies

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 17:34 - Sep 22 by jayessess

If it's the kind of thing that you'd like to learn more about, Barry Eichengreen, Golden Fetters, is a good book (I am a historian, but economic history isn't technically my specialty!).


Would be interesting to hear your opinion on this hour of radio I listened to last night (whilst doing half an hour's ironing...i carried on ironing for the whole hour, useful programme):

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0000n40

It's about the Banking Crisis of 2008 with input from Gordon Brown, Alistair Darling and other Downing Street insiders, would that we had politicians of their capability around in positions of power today.

Poll: What was in Wes Burns' imaginary cup of tea ?

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 09:25 - Sep 23 with 2557 viewsGlasgowBlue

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 08:39 - Sep 23 by WeWereZombies

Would be interesting to hear your opinion on this hour of radio I listened to last night (whilst doing half an hour's ironing...i carried on ironing for the whole hour, useful programme):

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m0000n40

It's about the Banking Crisis of 2008 with input from Gordon Brown, Alistair Darling and other Downing Street insiders, would that we had politicians of their capability around in positions of power today.


As the oft quoted IFS said about Brown's handling of the economy leading up to the 2008 banking crisis....

"The UK was in a worse position relative to most comparable countries. Most OECD governments did more to reduce their structural deficit during the period from 1997 to 2007 than Labour did. This fiscal position formed the backdrop to the financial crisis.”

Had Blair remained PM he would have removed Brown as Chancellor and implemented the 2005 sending review, which would have focused on cutting the deficit three years before the crash. The UK economy would have been in much better position to deal with the aftermath of the crash.

"In his memoir A Journey, on page 526, the former prime minister writes that he had "an interesting debate, not quite a contretemps", with Gordon Brown during the 2005 election over spending. "My view was that we had reached the limit of spending," Blair writes. "Even with the economy still growing I could sense that enough was enough."

The following February, as described on pages 574-5, Blair launched an internal exercise "after much Treasury [ie Brown] dissent" which was titled the Fundamental Savings Review (FSR). Blair's aim was to:

"[M]ove beyond the catch-up investment in public services and instead focus on a smaller, more strategic government. This was, in my mind, right in itself but also critical to dealing with the 'big state' and 'tax and spend' arguments that I was sure, in time, would pull apart our coalition in the country, and therefore our ability to win. It went back to the argument, already described, during the 2005 election. Unfortunately, the FSR was fought every inch of the way and was the one element I was unable to put in place prior to departure, it being the one that really did depend on Gordon's departure."

100% agree with your assessment of Darling. A grown up politician who was very cool during the crisis and doesn't get anywhere near the amount of credit that Brown seems tohave claimed.
[Post edited 23 Sep 2023 9:39]

Hey now, hey now, don't dream it's over
Poll: What will be announced first?
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 09:40 - Sep 23 with 2542 viewsWeWereZombies

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 09:25 - Sep 23 by GlasgowBlue

As the oft quoted IFS said about Brown's handling of the economy leading up to the 2008 banking crisis....

"The UK was in a worse position relative to most comparable countries. Most OECD governments did more to reduce their structural deficit during the period from 1997 to 2007 than Labour did. This fiscal position formed the backdrop to the financial crisis.”

Had Blair remained PM he would have removed Brown as Chancellor and implemented the 2005 sending review, which would have focused on cutting the deficit three years before the crash. The UK economy would have been in much better position to deal with the aftermath of the crash.

"In his memoir A Journey, on page 526, the former prime minister writes that he had "an interesting debate, not quite a contretemps", with Gordon Brown during the 2005 election over spending. "My view was that we had reached the limit of spending," Blair writes. "Even with the economy still growing I could sense that enough was enough."

The following February, as described on pages 574-5, Blair launched an internal exercise "after much Treasury [ie Brown] dissent" which was titled the Fundamental Savings Review (FSR). Blair's aim was to:

"[M]ove beyond the catch-up investment in public services and instead focus on a smaller, more strategic government. This was, in my mind, right in itself but also critical to dealing with the 'big state' and 'tax and spend' arguments that I was sure, in time, would pull apart our coalition in the country, and therefore our ability to win. It went back to the argument, already described, during the 2005 election. Unfortunately, the FSR was fought every inch of the way and was the one element I was unable to put in place prior to departure, it being the one that really did depend on Gordon's departure."

100% agree with your assessment of Darling. A grown up politician who was very cool during the crisis and doesn't get anywhere near the amount of credit that Brown seems tohave claimed.
[Post edited 23 Sep 2023 9:39]


Well you got that hour of radio listened to very quickly - impressive...

Poll: What was in Wes Burns' imaginary cup of tea ?

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 09:43 - Sep 23 with 2537 viewsGlasgowBlue

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 09:40 - Sep 23 by WeWereZombies

Well you got that hour of radio listened to very quickly - impressive...


Why do I need to listen to an hour of radio to repeat what IFS said about the British economy's vulnerability to the crisis and Blair's assessment of Brown's failure to address the deficit?

Hey now, hey now, don't dream it's over
Poll: What will be announced first?
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 13:42 - Sep 23 with 2485 viewseireblue

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 19:26 - Sep 21 by BanksterDebtSlave

And yet...
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/sep/21/italy-po-valley-blighted-air-pollu
.....keep lapping it up!

More...
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/sep/20/revealed-almost-everyone-in-
...but they care about people not business interests they really do. #owned

Edit 4...I predict silence.


Edit 2....to think you did so much to undermine a genuine alternative to neo Conservatism....the irony!

Edit 3...Read it and weep
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/11/eu-to-drop-ban-of-hazardous-

Edit 5....insert edit 4 here.
[Post edited 21 Sep 2023 19:44]


Good job London has a Mayor that pushes through stuff to help air quality.
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 14:36 - Sep 28 with 2263 viewsWeWereZombies

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 16:01 - Sep 22 by jayessess

As Chancellor of the Exchequer Churchill reintroduces a version of the Gold Standard in 1925. It's technically slightly different from the pre-FWW version.

Depends what you mean from "worst of the '30s depression" really. The 1925 Gold Standard over-values the pound, which depresses trade (and contributes to the mid-1920s depression and the General Strike). It's deflationary though, so maybe holds down inflation post-1929 (wouldn't have helped with unemployment mind and blind adherence to fiscal orthodoxy is what breaks the 1929-31 Labour Government).


You may have already clocked it but this morning's 'In OurTime' is about Keynes and his book 'The Economic Consequences Of The Peace', I found it fascinating, not least in the breadth of the aspects discussed:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m001qtpf

Also worth catching for the contribution of Margaret MacMillan, a historian I am always impressed with.

Poll: What was in Wes Burns' imaginary cup of tea ?

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 14:44 - Sep 28 with 2247 viewsHankScorpio

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 09:40 - Sep 23 by WeWereZombies

Well you got that hour of radio listened to very quickly - impressive...



I expect nothing from you, except to die and be a very cheap funeral.

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:01 - Sep 28 with 2205 viewsArnoldMoorhen

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 20:01 - Sep 21 by WeWereZombies

This EU2 stuff, are people working pro Bono ?


Edgey stuff...

I'm just Mullen over how best to respond. I think "Should Eno better?"

Should I come down on you like a Clayton of bricks?



Just sipping my McGuinness, preparing for the "Yeah, but Corbijn" posts.
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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:03 - Sep 28 with 2203 viewsjayessess

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 14:36 - Sep 28 by WeWereZombies

You may have already clocked it but this morning's 'In OurTime' is about Keynes and his book 'The Economic Consequences Of The Peace', I found it fascinating, not least in the breadth of the aspects discussed:

https://www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/m001qtpf

Also worth catching for the contribution of Margaret MacMillan, a historian I am always impressed with.


I hadn't, but will definitely give it a listen, thanks. MacMillan always excellent value.

(Coindentally, I'm sat in my office about fifty metres from Keynes' front door...)

Blog: What Now? Taking a Look at Life in League One

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:23 - Sep 28 with 2183 viewsblueasfook

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 14:51 - Sep 21 by StokieBlue

Just join again.

Sure, we won't have our veto, rebate or the pound but that's just something we would have to accept. The trend in the support for joining is fairly clear:

https://yougov.co.uk/politics/articles/45910-britons-would-vote-rejoin-eu?redire

SB


Really? That poll still has it quite narrow - 55% in favour of rejoining.

Pretty sure the polls in 2016 had it similar too, but on the day Leave won.

Also, how many of those would accept rejoining on worse terms than we had before? No veto, no rebate and loss of our currency. That would take some convincing I think! The poll is meaningless until people are presented with the terms on which we would be rejoining.

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This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:42 - Sep 28 with 2159 viewsDanTheMan

This EU associate membership thing that Starmer has likely been discussing on 15:23 - Sep 28 by blueasfook

Really? That poll still has it quite narrow - 55% in favour of rejoining.

Pretty sure the polls in 2016 had it similar too, but on the day Leave won.

Also, how many of those would accept rejoining on worse terms than we had before? No veto, no rebate and loss of our currency. That would take some convincing I think! The poll is meaningless until people are presented with the terms on which we would be rejoining.


People were more than happy to vote to leave without knowing what that would look like.

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