| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager 22:02 - Sep 23 with 1889 views | BondiBlue |
“So the optimal strategy for a club would seem to be to allow a manager a honeymoon period of 8 games, and then sack him if his weighted average performance with a smoothing value of 0.121 (putting 47% of the weight on the last five games) falls below 0.74 points per game.
If a club follows this strategy it can expect to obtain 56.81 points per season. It can expect to employ 5.7 managers on average over the ten seasons, and the average quality of those managers will be 3/5ths of the way between good and excellent. To put this into perspective, 56.81 points would have secured a finishing position of 10th, 8th, 8th, 6th, 8th and 8th in the six seasons so far of a 20-club Premiership.”
https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/fileadmin/user_upload/faculty/downloads/hope_when_sack |  |
| |  |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:16 - Sep 23 with 1812 views | Guthrum |
I up-thumbed this not so much because I think it would be a good idea to adopt such a brutally stats-based approach, but because I like the idea someone's sat down and worked all that out. |  |
| |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:23 - Sep 23 with 1774 views | King_ding_a_lin_g |
Absolute nonsense |  | | |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:23 - Sep 23 with 1769 views | monty_radio |
Fear not - I forsee us beating Birmingham 1.7 - 0.4 | |
| |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:30 - Sep 23 with 1746 views | BryanPlug |
[content removed at owner's request] |  |
| |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:47 - Sep 23 with 1657 views | Marshalls_Mullet |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:30 - Sep 23 by BryanPlug |
[content removed at owner's request] |
Surely the bag holder sometimes does ok from holding their stock. |  |
| |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 04:14 - Oct 3 with 826 views | BondiBlue |
Bump
Link doesn't seem to work any more unfortunately. [Post edited 3 Oct 2021 4:16]
| |
| |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 05:11 - Oct 3 with 755 views | braveblue |
According to statistics the average man in Britain has less than two legs!! | | | |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 06:46 - Oct 3 with 684 views | wkj |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:16 - Sep 23 by Guthrum |
I up-thumbed this not so much because I think it would be a good idea to adopt such a brutally stats-based approach, but because I like the idea someone's sat down and worked all that out. |
It is this kind of analytics and algorithmic thinking that makes you miss the dear old' Stokie types all the more. |  |
| |
| |
By continuing to use the site, you agree to our use of cookies and to abide by our Terms and Conditions.
