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Weather heads up. 18:39 - Jul 9 with 12908 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Forecast models are regularly showing up to 44°C for next weekend. Dangerous heat.

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Weather heads up. on 19:22 - Jul 9 with 4751 viewsNthQldITFC

What, in the UK?

Edit: Yes, UK. But there's a hell of a lot of variability between models. I wonder if that is normal or if there's a specific reason for it.
[Post edited 9 Jul 2022 19:29]

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Weather heads up. on 19:30 - Jul 9 with 4710 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 19:22 - Jul 9 by NthQldITFC

What, in the UK?

Edit: Yes, UK. But there's a hell of a lot of variability between models. I wonder if that is normal or if there's a specific reason for it.
[Post edited 9 Jul 2022 19:29]


No, Saturn.

Of course he means the UK, otherwise it's pretty pointless .

Although, it is Bankster so anything is possible.

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Weather heads up. on 19:37 - Jul 9 with 4682 viewsIpswichKnight

None of mine are showing anything like that top temperature for next weekend in London is 31c. Is Bankster reading the Express/Mirror weather reports which are renowned for being wrong.
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Weather heads up. on 19:38 - Jul 9 with 4666 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 19:37 - Jul 9 by IpswichKnight

None of mine are showing anything like that top temperature for next weekend in London is 31c. Is Bankster reading the Express/Mirror weather reports which are renowned for being wrong.


It's probably Fahrenheit.

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Weather heads up. on 19:39 - Jul 9 with 4655 viewslowhouseblue

so beating the uk record by 5.3 degrees? hmmm.

And so as the loose-bowelled pigeon of time swoops low over the unsuspecting tourist of destiny, and the flatulent skunk of fate wanders into the air-conditioning system of eternity, I notice it's the end of the show

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Weather heads up. on 19:40 - Jul 9 with 4648 viewsTrequartista

Forecasting models strike again.

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Weather heads up. on 19:43 - Jul 9 with 4628 viewsEastTownBlue

Doubtful and I really hope not. Although London is currently not forecast to have a daytime temparature below 25c for the next week.
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Weather heads up. on 19:46 - Jul 9 with 4608 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 19:39 - Jul 9 by lowhouseblue

so beating the uk record by 5.3 degrees? hmmm.


I'm thinking it's more that the 3 and the 4 are next to each other on his keyboard.

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Weather heads up. on 19:46 - Jul 9 with 4611 viewsGeoffSentence

Metoffice says that they run hundreds of forecast modesl, some show extreme temperatures for next weekend, but the most likely scenario is above average, but not extreme temperatures.

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/about-us/press-office/news/weather-and-climate/2022

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Weather heads up. on 19:52 - Jul 9 with 4570 viewsN2_Blue

Bankster is correct, models are showing 40+ C on many runs over next weekend.

Obviously a lot can change at 7 days out, and models can quite often be wrong but the weather pattern is fairly stable being a big high pressure system pumping up heat from Africa so there are less variables in place to downgrade this. Whatever happens it is going to be exceptionally hot and even if it doesn't get as hot as the models currently predict I'd say there is a serious chance the UK temperature record of 38.7Cwill be broken.

Parts of Europe specifically France, Portugal and Spain are in real trouble. Temperatures well over 45C forecast and its now almost certain these will happen in these places. Western Europe is on the brink of a potentially devastating heatwave. How severe it will be in the UK needs to be closely watched in the coming days so people can prepare.

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Weather heads up. on 19:54 - Jul 9 with 4551 viewsN2_Blue

Weather heads up. on 19:46 - Jul 9 by jeera

I'm thinking it's more that the 3 and the 4 are next to each other on his keyboard.


you are wrong Jeera. It's being widely modelled at the moment lows 40s. Doesn't mean it will happen but Bankster's post is correct not a typo.

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Weather heads up. on 19:58 - Jul 9 with 4521 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 19:54 - Jul 9 by N2_Blue

you are wrong Jeera. It's being widely modelled at the moment lows 40s. Doesn't mean it will happen but Bankster's post is correct not a typo.


My evening is ruined.

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Weather heads up. on 20:39 - Jul 9 with 4386 viewsNthQldITFC

Weather heads up. on 19:39 - Jul 9 by lowhouseblue

so beating the uk record by 5.3 degrees? hmmm.


Whilst that seems a lot, I believe a similar jump in record temperatures happened in Canada last year (4.6C increase, apparently).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57654133

Actually, having just checked the above, the same thing seems to be happening in parts of Canada again right now: (not sure of the reliability of this link)
https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/canada-heatwave-hot-records

Anyone who still thinks that we're not now in an era of crazy and deadly weather due to Anthropogenic Global Warming needs to get their head out of the sand, swiftish.

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Weather heads up. on 20:47 - Jul 9 with 4346 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 19:52 - Jul 9 by N2_Blue

Bankster is correct, models are showing 40+ C on many runs over next weekend.

Obviously a lot can change at 7 days out, and models can quite often be wrong but the weather pattern is fairly stable being a big high pressure system pumping up heat from Africa so there are less variables in place to downgrade this. Whatever happens it is going to be exceptionally hot and even if it doesn't get as hot as the models currently predict I'd say there is a serious chance the UK temperature record of 38.7Cwill be broken.

Parts of Europe specifically France, Portugal and Spain are in real trouble. Temperatures well over 45C forecast and its now almost certain these will happen in these places. Western Europe is on the brink of a potentially devastating heatwave. How severe it will be in the UK needs to be closely watched in the coming days so people can prepare.


Thanks for saving me a lot of texting. The latest GFS is suggesting in excess of 50 degrees in SW France next weekend as a possibility.

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Weather heads up. on 20:49 - Jul 9 with 4333 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 20:39 - Jul 9 by NthQldITFC

Whilst that seems a lot, I believe a similar jump in record temperatures happened in Canada last year (4.6C increase, apparently).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57654133

Actually, having just checked the above, the same thing seems to be happening in parts of Canada again right now: (not sure of the reliability of this link)
https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/canada-heatwave-hot-records

Anyone who still thinks that we're not now in an era of crazy and deadly weather due to Anthropogenic Global Warming needs to get their head out of the sand, swiftish.


You are right to regularly mention this, as are others.

But it's at top level it needs to sink in and from whence it needs to be preached out loud.

Another category where we are lacking leadership.

The weather is so different to just a few years back it's like living in a different country to the one I knew much of the time.
[Post edited 9 Jul 2022 21:17]

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Weather heads up. on 20:51 - Jul 9 with 4324 viewsStochesStotasBlewe

Weather heads up. on 20:39 - Jul 9 by NthQldITFC

Whilst that seems a lot, I believe a similar jump in record temperatures happened in Canada last year (4.6C increase, apparently).
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-57654133

Actually, having just checked the above, the same thing seems to be happening in parts of Canada again right now: (not sure of the reliability of this link)
https://dailyhive.com/vancouver/canada-heatwave-hot-records

Anyone who still thinks that we're not now in an era of crazy and deadly weather due to Anthropogenic Global Warming needs to get their head out of the sand, swiftish.


Scary stuff.
As a humble horticulturalist, I notice the changes, some subtle, each of the seasons.
If these temperatures turn out to be true next week, it will set a dangerous precedent.

We have no village green, or a shop. It's very, very quiet. I can walk to the pub.

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Weather heads up. on 20:52 - Jul 9 with 4311 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 19:54 - Jul 9 by N2_Blue

you are wrong Jeera. It's being widely modelled at the moment lows 40s. Doesn't mean it will happen but Bankster's post is correct not a typo.


It may indeed not happen as they are computer model and variables are almost infinite. Worth a heads up though I thought...fans will be selling out fast and refrigeration systems will fail at such temperatures..dangerous heat to say the least.

For regular weather geeky updates...
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/97297-model-output-discussion-hot-snap-fol
[Post edited 9 Jul 2022 20:54]

"They break our legs and tell us to be grateful when they offer us crutches."
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Weather heads up. on 20:55 - Jul 9 with 4292 viewsBanksterDebtSlave

Weather heads up. on 20:51 - Jul 9 by StochesStotasBlewe

Scary stuff.
As a humble horticulturalist, I notice the changes, some subtle, each of the seasons.
If these temperatures turn out to be true next week, it will set a dangerous precedent.


#nothedgecuttingweather

"They break our legs and tell us to be grateful when they offer us crutches."
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Weather heads up. on 21:02 - Jul 9 with 4260 viewsSuperKieranMcKenna

Weather heads up. on 20:52 - Jul 9 by BanksterDebtSlave

It may indeed not happen as they are computer model and variables are almost infinite. Worth a heads up though I thought...fans will be selling out fast and refrigeration systems will fail at such temperatures..dangerous heat to say the least.

For regular weather geeky updates...
https://www.netweather.tv/forum/topic/97297-model-output-discussion-hot-snap-fol
[Post edited 9 Jul 2022 20:54]


Apologies my meteorological knowledge is bugg3r all. Forecasts are showing temps in the high 20’s next weekend, what am I missing?
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Weather heads up. on 21:14 - Jul 9 with 4188 viewsStochesStotasBlewe

Weather heads up. on 20:55 - Jul 9 by BanksterDebtSlave

#nothedgecuttingweather


That was this past week.

#achelikefecktoday

We have no village green, or a shop. It's very, very quiet. I can walk to the pub.

1
Weather heads up. on 21:16 - Jul 9 with 4168 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 20:51 - Jul 9 by StochesStotasBlewe

Scary stuff.
As a humble horticulturalist, I notice the changes, some subtle, each of the seasons.
If these temperatures turn out to be true next week, it will set a dangerous precedent.


"As a humble horticulturalist".

This irritates me a little bit because it's like it's an unimportant role or something.

Frankly I can't think of a better place to be than outside close to nature, but there ya go.

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Weather heads up. on 21:25 - Jul 9 with 4135 viewsStochesStotasBlewe

Weather heads up. on 21:16 - Jul 9 by jeera

"As a humble horticulturalist".

This irritates me a little bit because it's like it's an unimportant role or something.

Frankly I can't think of a better place to be than outside close to nature, but there ya go.


Said tongue in cheek dear boy.
‘Tis a fine profession to be in though the heat can be crippling at the moment.

We have no village green, or a shop. It's very, very quiet. I can walk to the pub.

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Weather heads up. on 21:29 - Jul 9 with 4103 viewsNthQldITFC

Weather heads up. on 21:25 - Jul 9 by StochesStotasBlewe

Said tongue in cheek dear boy.
‘Tis a fine profession to be in though the heat can be crippling at the moment.


It's not nice working in sticky temperatures when you've still got tender plums either!

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Weather heads up. on 21:32 - Jul 9 with 4073 viewsjeera

Weather heads up. on 21:25 - Jul 9 by StochesStotasBlewe

Said tongue in cheek dear boy.
‘Tis a fine profession to be in though the heat can be crippling at the moment.


Yes well don't walk about with your tongue in your cheek or people will get the wrong idea.

I was a kid with my weekend outdoor job (80s) on the markets and in the winter it was very important to not touch the metal bars with bare hands as they would stick to the skin.

And you couldn't get it off as the skin would go with it. It sounds mad now but it was the case.

I bought a cup of steaming hot tea from the burger bar on Ipswich and spilt it and by the time it had hit the ground the liquid spilt had frozen solid.

I would say by the time we were in the mid-late 90s (ish) it was not longer so much a thing of concern.

So much has changed in such a short time. You are right in what you say that working outside you notice the patterns alter as they happen in real terms.

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Weather heads up. on 21:33 - Jul 9 with 4073 viewsStochesStotasBlewe

Weather heads up. on 21:29 - Jul 9 by NthQldITFC

It's not nice working in sticky temperatures when you've still got tender plums either!


I love a tender Victoria.

We have no village green, or a shop. It's very, very quiet. I can walk to the pub.

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