| Supercomputer predicts... on 12:30 - Feb 27 with 2656 views | positivity |
interesting, why are we 4th when we have a better gd than barnsley?
if we have to get 91 points to get promoted, that equates to winning the next 2 and 2 points per game from the rest. difficult, but possible |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 12:31 - Feb 27 with 2640 views | vilanovablue |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 12:30 - Feb 27 by positivity |
interesting, why are we 4th when we have a better gd than barnsley?
if we have to get 91 points to get promoted, that equates to winning the next 2 and 2 points per game from the rest. difficult, but possible |
Agree, I also that a little strange. Still a lot to play for. |  | | |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 12:33 - Feb 27 with 2618 views | positivity |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 12:31 - Feb 27 by vilanovablue |
Agree, I also that a little strange. Still a lot to play for. |
it might be sorted by chances of promotion, which is slightly higher for barnsley than us... | |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 12:38 - Feb 27 with 2577 views | NthQldITFC |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 12:30 - Feb 27 by positivity |
interesting, why are we 4th when we have a better gd than barnsley?
if we have to get 91 points to get promoted, that equates to winning the next 2 and 2 points per game from the rest. difficult, but possible |
I guess the simulation has come up with something like 86.3 for Barnsley and 86.2 for us and they round both down but take the decimals as significant in the sort order, and consider that more relevant than goal difference. |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:01 - Feb 27 with 2453 views | Perublue |
Computer says....no ?? |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:03 - Feb 27 with 2439 views | Vegtablue |
Morecambe are the big losers from Guthers' earlier table but they'll be used to that! We have a tough fixture list left on paper whereas Plymouth have mostly cannon fodder. The real world doesn't play by paper rules but I think it's in our best interests to hope Barnsley beat them on March 11th. Barnsley also still have a lot of the top third to play. | | | |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:07 - Feb 27 with 2406 views | Asa |
Great. Bolton in the play-offs, but with a League One ref! | | | |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:10 - Feb 27 with 2400 views | J2BLUE |
These form based predictions are nonsense IMO.
It was meaningless when it was saying we would win the league and it's meaningless now. |  | | |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:11 - Feb 27 with 2381 views | Wacko |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:10 - Feb 27 by J2BLUE |
These form based predictions are nonsense IMO.
It was meaningless when it was saying we would win the league and it's meaningless now. |
Totally agree | |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:12 - Feb 27 with 2362 views | Asa |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:10 - Feb 27 by J2BLUE |
These form based predictions are nonsense IMO.
It was meaningless when it was saying we would win the league and it's meaningless now. |
Very much so.
It was from Saturday midday, so before we won and Plymouth lost.
Which makes it worse in that it was suggesting Sheffield Wed had an 8 times better chance of winning the league than Plymouth. Who were on the same points as them! [Post edited 27 Feb 2023 13:13]
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:13 - Feb 27 with 2335 views | vilanovablue |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:10 - Feb 27 by J2BLUE |
These form based predictions are nonsense IMO.
It was meaningless when it was saying we would win the league and it's meaningless now. |
Don't necessarily disagree but it is always fun to get some opinions floating about. Although on reflection it isn't something the board struggles with that, opinions that is! | | | |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:17 - Feb 27 with 2265 views | Ryorry |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:07 - Feb 27 by Asa |
Great. Bolton in the play-offs, but with a League One ref! |
On the bright side, it still gives Derby a chance of getting relegated. |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:46 - Feb 27 with 2085 views | SuperKieranMcKenna |
It also predicts Liverpool will finish 6th in the Prem…so I’ll take it with a pinch of salt! | | | |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 16:08 - Feb 27 with 1824 views | N2_Blue |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:12 - Feb 27 by Asa |
Very much so.
It was from Saturday midday, so before we won and Plymouth lost.
Which makes it worse in that it was suggesting Sheffield Wed had an 8 times better chance of winning the league than Plymouth. Who were on the same points as them! [Post edited 27 Feb 2023 13:13]
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Incorrect.
Its updated immediately after the last game played in the division. Look at the points totals in grey. I know this because i have occasionally checked it immediately after our games
The model is American l so one assumes the update time is US time rather than UK. |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 16:14 - Feb 27 with 1781 views | Kropotkin123 |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:10 - Feb 27 by J2BLUE |
These form based predictions are nonsense IMO.
It was meaningless when it was saying we would win the league and it's meaningless now. |
Nonsense, but still fun for me. |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 17:05 - Feb 27 with 1609 views | hoppy |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:13 - Feb 27 by vilanovablue |
Don't necessarily disagree but it is always fun to get some opinions floating about. Although on reflection it isn't something the board struggles with that, opinions that is! |
...or so you say! |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 17:12 - Feb 27 with 1593 views | hoppy |
It's not giving us much chance of getting results at Bolton, Barnsley or Derby though, if you look at the 'matches' tab rather then the 'standings'...
https://projects.fivethirtyeig | |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 17:18 - Feb 27 with 1579 views | positivity |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 17:12 - Feb 27 by hoppy |
It's not giving us much chance of getting results at Bolton, Barnsley or Derby though, if you look at the 'matches' tab rather then the 'standings'...
https://projects.fivethirtyeig |
best thing is their use of "stanley", whereas everyone else gets their proper name. old school! | |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 19:54 - Feb 27 with 1371 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 13:17 - Feb 27 by Ryorry |
On the bright side, it still gives Derby a chance of getting relegated. |
How many points is their next deduction due to be? |  |
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| Supercomputer predicts... on 19:59 - Feb 27 with 1344 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Supercomputer predicts... on 17:12 - Feb 27 by hoppy |
It's not giving us much chance of getting results at Bolton, Barnsley or Derby though, if you look at the 'matches' tab rather then the 'standings'...
https://projects.fivethirtyeig |
Greater than 50% chance of getting a point or more in each of them - I would be happy enough to draw them all and delighted to draw 2 and win 1.
Wycombe at home is under 50% chance of a win.
Their model expects Plymouth to beat Charlton but gives them low odds for Derby (H) and Barnsley (A). Their run-in after those 3 looks a bit more straightforward than ours so it is important we close that gap over the next couple of weeks. | |
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