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The USA election campaigns on 20:33 - Nov 1 by wkj
As well you know, I spent a good chunk of my life in the American Midwest, and some of the most devout Trump supporters in my 'friend circle' (on Facebook) are keen to share this image with pride
It is astonishing how some of the deepest Maga territories still believe women exist on a hierarchy to men.
Therefore, I can see how some secretive voting, or even vote blocking, might take place.
[Post edited 1 Nov 2024 20:34]
The prevalance of "pastors" in the US and the influence and power these people seem to hold is troubling. I believe many of them are lay pastors rather than professionals as well- but I may be mistaken in that. Would be interested to know.
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The USA election campaigns on 20:42 - Nov 1 with 1175 views
The USA election campaigns on 20:33 - Nov 1 by wkj
As well you know, I spent a good chunk of my life in the American Midwest, and some of the most devout Trump supporters in my 'friend circle' (on Facebook) are keen to share this image with pride
It is astonishing how some of the deepest Maga territories still believe women exist on a hierarchy to men.
Therefore, I can see how some secretive voting, or even vote blocking, might take place.
[Post edited 1 Nov 2024 20:34]
Is the Trump umbrella the next one up?
"They break our legs and tell us to be grateful when they offer us crutches."
The USA election campaigns on 18:55 - Nov 1 by StokieBlue
The claim that Atlas are the most accurate is made by Atlas themselves, not any independent polling analysis and it has very little data to support it outside them deciding their bespoke methodology was closest to the results. In fact Atlas have been accused of essentially "fitting" their methodology to weight towards Trump in this election [1].
Of course that doesn't mean they aren't correct with their polling this time, just it's best to look a little deeper into the polling methodology and claims made, especially when "correctness" is self-determined. If we look at 538 then they put Atlas down at number 22 based on historical accuracy and methodological transparency [2].
It's also worth noting that possible "fake" polling is being commissioned and feeding into a "stolen election" narrative by creating a possibly false Trump-surge before election day. This is covered by a Guardian article citing the NYT [3]. That article also touches on how a few large international bets are swinging the gambling market.
It's a close election, as Nate Silver said on CNBC yesterday:
"Anyone who is confident about this election is someone whose opinion you should discount"
It is pretty clear though that one side is setting up for legal challenges and incitement if the vote doesn't go their way and have been laying the groundwork for that for a few weeks now.
The USA election campaigns on 20:40 - Nov 1 by redrickstuhaart
The prevalance of "pastors" in the US and the influence and power these people seem to hold is troubling. I believe many of them are lay pastors rather than professionals as well- but I may be mistaken in that. Would be interested to know.
In the UK we have the "spiritual influence" law, which was originally brought in to counter the influence of the Roman Catholic clergy over elections in the 19th century.
More recently, Lutfur Rahman was unseated for colluding with local Immans to exert “undue spiritual influence” on voters from the Muslim Bangladeshi community. I think there is an investigation currently being conducted in Leicester under the same law.
They need a law like that in the States but no one would dare go up against the evangelicals.
The USA election campaigns on 21:27 - Nov 1 by GlasgowBlue
In the UK we have the "spiritual influence" law, which was originally brought in to counter the influence of the Roman Catholic clergy over elections in the 19th century.
More recently, Lutfur Rahman was unseated for colluding with local Immans to exert “undue spiritual influence” on voters from the Muslim Bangladeshi community. I think there is an investigation currently being conducted in Leicester under the same law.
They need a law like that in the States but no one would dare go up against the evangelicals.
No-one could probably afford to. The amount of money they have is insane
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The USA election campaigns on 21:32 - Nov 1 with 1068 views
The USA election campaigns on 19:17 - Oct 28 by The_Romford_Blue
I had £500 at 1.82 about 2 weeks ago.
And have also played more recently at 7/4 for the election winner to lose the popular vote. Frankly that’s ridiculous as trump is odds on everywhere and the republicans have only won the popular vote once since 1980. Market discrepancy
Trump 8/15 for election and Harris 1/4 for the popular vote but you can still get 7/4 about the winner losing the popular vote
The USA election campaigns on 21:27 - Nov 1 by GlasgowBlue
In the UK we have the "spiritual influence" law, which was originally brought in to counter the influence of the Roman Catholic clergy over elections in the 19th century.
More recently, Lutfur Rahman was unseated for colluding with local Immans to exert “undue spiritual influence” on voters from the Muslim Bangladeshi community. I think there is an investigation currently being conducted in Leicester under the same law.
They need a law like that in the States but no one would dare go up against the evangelicals.
"The Evangelicals" could be the first Christian Marvel film.
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