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Where will we finish this season? 07:14 - Jul 9 with 3084 viewschristiand

Lots of talk about where we will finish this season on various threads, so posted this poll to get an overall indicator of how we are all feeling heading into the new campaign. Apologies if this type of poll has previously been posted, although poster's thoughts might have changed since May!!

https://www.twtd.co.uk/members/christiand/polls/3209/where-will-we-finish-this-s
[Post edited 10 Jul 6:58]

Poll: Where will we finish this season?
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Where will we finish this season? on 07:23 - Jul 9 with 2034 viewsBloomBlue

League winners
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:03 - Jul 9 with 1960 viewsGuthrum

Where will we finish this season? on 07:23 - Jul 9 by BloomBlue

League winners


I firmly do believe we have the capacity to win the division, as things stand. It will be a battle and lots will have to go in our favour (particularly on the player fitness front), but we still have the bulk of our Championship squad (sans loans), plus the League's top scorer and with a good CM, our goal-of-the-season striker/wideman and a promising young forward returning from injury.

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Where will we finish this season? on 09:12 - Jul 9 with 1944 viewsJakeITFC

In the top four - champions with a good wind.
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:13 - Jul 9 with 1937 viewsC_HealyIsAPleasure

5th, losing in the playoff semis

Highlighting crass stupidity since sometime around 2010
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:23 - Jul 9 with 1919 viewsKeaneish

Top 6 for sure. Play-off final and then who knows...

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Where will we finish this season? on 09:32 - Jul 9 with 1901 viewsjudespiveyg

2nd behind Sunderland
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:33 - Jul 9 with 1900 viewsusm

Where will we finish this season? on 09:03 - Jul 9 by Guthrum

I firmly do believe we have the capacity to win the division, as things stand. It will be a battle and lots will have to go in our favour (particularly on the player fitness front), but we still have the bulk of our Championship squad (sans loans), plus the League's top scorer and with a good CM, our goal-of-the-season striker/wideman and a promising young forward returning from injury.


Our "Championship" squad finished bottom, which probably means mid/lower Div 1, using that as a parameter.

I actually think we will do better than that and will finish mid/upper. We should be able to threaten the play offs, but doubt we'll get promoted.

FOYSC
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:33 - Jul 9 with 1896 viewsGeoffSentence

Will be disappointed if we don't get 15th

In the 38 games in which ALB played in goal for us, we averaged 1.53 points per game which, had they been over the course of a single season, would have seen us challenging for the play offs. This at a time when we were otherwise struggling against relegation. Oh, and didn't Mick Mills have terrific posture.
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:34 - Jul 9 with 1880 viewstextbackup

lisning to most of the fannies on here that don't even go you say 15th.....

however, top 6 is my guess

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Where will we finish this season? on 09:36 - Jul 9 with 1871 viewsbraveblue

With Evans here I suspect around 14th. Hope not but just can’t see much quality.
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:37 - Jul 9 with 1864 viewshampstead_blue

This is a pie chart waiting to happen..........should be pinned at the top for a few weeks to gauge the mood.....

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Where will we finish this season? on 09:38 - Jul 9 with 1865 viewsMach_foreignBlue

Midtable.

Leaky and poor defence is going to be our undoing.

No chance to progress whatsoever with Evans in charge.
[Post edited 9 Jul 9:39]
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Where will we finish this season? on 09:39 - Jul 9 with 1845 viewstextbackup

Where will we finish this season? on 09:36 - Jul 9 by braveblue

With Evans here I suspect around 14th. Hope not but just can’t see much quality.


cants see much quality.....

league 1 quality - Nolan, toto, Edwards, norwood, bishop, dozzell, downes, skuse, Jackson, bart, holy, sears

who am I missing?

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Where will we finish this season? on 09:39 - Jul 9 with 1849 viewshampstead_blue

Top 10 and a new manager

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Where will we finish this season? on 10:20 - Jul 9 with 1784 viewsbilllm

Top two
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Where will we finish this season? on 10:22 - Jul 9 with 1775 viewstextbackup

Where will we finish this season? on 09:38 - Jul 9 by Mach_foreignBlue

Midtable.

Leaky and poor defence is going to be our undoing.

No chance to progress whatsoever with Evans in charge.
[Post edited 9 Jul 9:39]


I'll just settle for a load of "we'll score more than you" 4-3 and 3-2 wins then

We’ll be good again... one day
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Where will we finish this season? on 10:26 - Jul 9 with 1768 viewsGuthrum

Where will we finish this season? on 09:33 - Jul 9 by usm

Our "Championship" squad finished bottom, which probably means mid/lower Div 1, using that as a parameter.

I actually think we will do better than that and will finish mid/upper. We should be able to threaten the play offs, but doubt we'll get promoted.


Some analysis of the League One performance of the last ten teams which finished bottom of the Championship the previous season:

1 finished top and were promoted as champions (Doncaster)
1 finished 2nd and were promoted (Bolton)
4 finished in the play-offs, of which 2 were promoted (Peterborough and Rotherham). Of the two which lost in the play-offs, Charlton were promoted as champions two seasons later and the other was Sunderland last season.
4 finished outside the play-offs, of which Bristol City (12th) were promoted as champions the following season and Scunthorpe (18th) were relegated to League Two the following season. Finally there were the struggling Yeovil (24th) and the basket-case that was Blackpool (22nd) both of whom got a second successive relegation.

Boiling those down to percentages, that gives a 60% chance of top six and a 40% chance of immediate re-promotion, even despite having finished last. Rising to 60% to 70% (depending upon how Sunderland do) for promotion within two years. Only one team stagnated, Scunthorpe winning repromotion to L1 at the first attempt and remaining there ever since. Yeovil arguably returned to their natural level and Blackpool was a special case, with all their off-field and financial problems.
[Post edited 9 Jul 10:29]

Good Lord! Whatever is it?
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Where will we finish this season? on 10:47 - Jul 9 with 1713 viewsIpswichKnight

I know this is a very low base to work from but take our form against the sides that were relegated with us and average it out comes out with 72 points that would be enough for around 6/7th.
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Where will we finish this season? on 11:14 - Jul 9 with 1664 viewsusm

Where will we finish this season? on 10:26 - Jul 9 by Guthrum

Some analysis of the League One performance of the last ten teams which finished bottom of the Championship the previous season:

1 finished top and were promoted as champions (Doncaster)
1 finished 2nd and were promoted (Bolton)
4 finished in the play-offs, of which 2 were promoted (Peterborough and Rotherham). Of the two which lost in the play-offs, Charlton were promoted as champions two seasons later and the other was Sunderland last season.
4 finished outside the play-offs, of which Bristol City (12th) were promoted as champions the following season and Scunthorpe (18th) were relegated to League Two the following season. Finally there were the struggling Yeovil (24th) and the basket-case that was Blackpool (22nd) both of whom got a second successive relegation.

Boiling those down to percentages, that gives a 60% chance of top six and a 40% chance of immediate re-promotion, even despite having finished last. Rising to 60% to 70% (depending upon how Sunderland do) for promotion within two years. Only one team stagnated, Scunthorpe winning repromotion to L1 at the first attempt and remaining there ever since. Yeovil arguably returned to their natural level and Blackpool was a special case, with all their off-field and financial problems.
[Post edited 9 Jul 10:29]


So we have a

20% chance of automatic promotion
40% chance of the play offs, with a 50% chance of then winning them
40% chance of finishing lower than the play offs

FOYSC
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Where will we finish this season? on 11:18 - Jul 9 with 1649 viewsHerbivore

Where will we finish this season? on 09:33 - Jul 9 by usm

Our "Championship" squad finished bottom, which probably means mid/lower Div 1, using that as a parameter.

I actually think we will do better than that and will finish mid/upper. We should be able to threaten the play offs, but doubt we'll get promoted.


Hang on, how do you work out that bottom of the Championship is equivalent of lower League 1? The last three teams to finish bottom of the Championship have finished top 6 in League 1 the following season, two went straight back up and the other lost in the play off final.

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Where will we finish this season? on 12:00 - Jul 9 with 1625 viewsBlueySwede

Impossible to say.
With a few additions (centre back is a must) I believe we have a decent squad and could, on paper, finish at least in the top 6.
Then there are other considerations like luck (or bad luck) with injuries, getting the right results at the start of the season, confidence. If everything works we could be up there in the top 2. If things go against us...well, who knows.
I will be disappointed if we are not there or thereabout..but will support our team forever anyway.
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"... but we still have the bulk of our Championship squad" on 12:02 - Jul 9 with 1619 viewsDyland

Where will we finish this season? on 09:03 - Jul 9 by Guthrum

I firmly do believe we have the capacity to win the division, as things stand. It will be a battle and lots will have to go in our favour (particularly on the player fitness front), but we still have the bulk of our Championship squad (sans loans), plus the League's top scorer and with a good CM, our goal-of-the-season striker/wideman and a promising young forward returning from injury.


That's the problem ;)

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Where will we finish this season? on 12:39 - Jul 9 with 1552 viewsTractorWood

The bookies are the best objective assessment. We are 9/4 to get promoted.

I'll book the open top bus.

I know that was then, but it could be again..
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Where will we finish this season? on 12:50 - Jul 9 with 1511 viewswkj

8th

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Where will we finish this season? on 12:51 - Jul 9 with 1511 viewsChondzoresk

In the top one I reckon.
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