| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... 17:17 - Jul 4 with 4524 views | RIPbobby |
I think labour will just sneak it, but the vote will be very spread across cons, green, LD and reform. Not the whitewash everyone thinks. In fact I'm not convinced they will get a majority. They might need a little help from a rival.
The Scottish vote will be interesting as to see if snp will get the levels they have had the last few elections. |  | | |  |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:20 - Jul 4 with 3701 views | blueasfook |
What do you base this opinion on? The polls are mostly predicting a big Lab majority. |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:24 - Jul 4 with 3640 views | baxterbasics |
Labour won't 'just sneak it' they will win a big a majority, probably three-digits
The only uncertainty is how big will the disaster be for the Cons, will it be epic, or total? |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:29 - Jul 4 with 3584 views | N2_Blue |
i think you are in for a big surprise if you believe that.
Labour not get a majority...Absolutely no chance.
It will be at leatst 100 even with a very split vote. If the undeciders go labour then it will approach 200. |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:31 - Jul 4 with 3547 views | itfcjoe |
65/1 on Betfair for no overall majority |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:31 - Jul 4 with 3545 views | MidlandBlue25 |
Labour will win a large majority. I think Scotland will be tighter than most think |  | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:33 - Jul 4 with 3532 views | Trequartista |
The vote might be spread, but the seat distribution won't. The LibDems for example, might pick up a few more seats, but not at the expense of Labour. They will be tactically voting out Tories. |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:36 - Jul 4 with 3484 views | PassionNotAnger |
No chance, Labour majority will be 3 digits without a shadow of a doubt and likely 200+.
Gut feel Labour 420ish Tory’s somewhere between 75-150 max
I’ve had a bet on less that 75 seats @3-1 | | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:39 - Jul 4 with 3441 views | Zx1988 |
I feel that the polls may be out, but I can't decide which way.
On the one hand, there's a good chance that Tory/Reform voters may not be declaring as such, and also that Reform voters may have a change of heart at the ballot box, both of which would boost the Tory side of things.
On the other hand, there's the question of how much tactical voting has been factored in by the pollsters. There seems to be so much talk of it this time around, so perhaps the sheer scale of it may take the pollsters by surprise.
I can't see things being so far out as to have completely mis-called the broad result (Lab Maj), but I think we may be surprised either way by the size of said majority, | |
| |
Login to get fewer ads
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:41 - Jul 4 with 3395 views | MidlandBlue25 |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:39 - Jul 4 by Zx1988 |
I feel that the polls may be out, but I can't decide which way.
On the one hand, there's a good chance that Tory/Reform voters may not be declaring as such, and also that Reform voters may have a change of heart at the ballot box, both of which would boost the Tory side of things.
On the other hand, there's the question of how much tactical voting has been factored in by the pollsters. There seems to be so much talk of it this time around, so perhaps the sheer scale of it may take the pollsters by surprise.
I can't see things being so far out as to have completely mis-called the broad result (Lab Maj), but I think we may be surprised either way by the size of said majority, |
Tactical voting in large part doesn't exist. It's a chronically online thing which people who don't use Twitter know little about | | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:52 - Jul 4 with 3219 views | Swansea_Blue |
Count Binface coming up on the outside? |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:57 - Jul 4 with 3166 views | Cheltenham_Blue |
Considering exit polls can't be issued until 10pm, I'm going to file this one under 'Random Guesses' |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:06 - Jul 4 with 3111 views | Simonds92 |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:24 - Jul 4 by baxterbasics |
Labour won't 'just sneak it' they will win a big a majority, probably three-digits
The only uncertainty is how big will the disaster be for the Cons, will it be epic, or total? |
The irony is that Rishi is just about the most competent out of all the clueless idiots we've had in the past few years. Boris deserves to be the face of this disaster. Absolute w⚓️. | | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:11 - Jul 4 with 3063 views | Swansea_Blue |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:57 - Jul 4 by Cheltenham_Blue |
Considering exit polls can't be issued until 10pm, I'm going to file this one under 'Random Guesses' |
Balls. Count Binface has just fallen at the last. [Post edited 4 Jul 2024 18:17]
| |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:15 - Jul 4 with 3027 views | BanksterDebtSlave |
I've put £10 on Reform to poll more votes than Conservatives at 3/1. |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:17 - Jul 4 with 3009 views | GlasgowBlue |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:06 - Jul 4 by Simonds92 |
The irony is that Rishi is just about the most competent out of all the clueless idiots we've had in the past few years. Boris deserves to be the face of this disaster. Absolute w⚓️. |
Sunak was the most competent but he was weak. He had a clean slate and should have disowned Johnson and Truss, then shown the right of his party the door as Starmer did with the left in his party. |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:18 - Jul 4 with 2988 views | chicoazul |
Lol
Lmao |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:18 - Jul 4 with 2989 views | Argyle_blue |
1/10 for 200+ seat losses. Not sure it will be that close. |  | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:19 - Jul 4 with 2985 views | WD19 |
I’ll have some of what you are smoking!
Labours share want be smaller than they hope….and from a lukewarm turnout…..but the majority will be whopping.
Which is exactly what Chairman Nige wants so he can bleat on about the injustice of Labour getting a 200 seat majority with only about 30% of the population having voted for them. |  | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 18:45 - Jul 4 with 2829 views | monkeymagic |
Lab 411
Con 137
Lib 22
Reform 4
0th 76
You heard it hear first. | | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 19:12 - Jul 4 with 2701 views | RIPbobby |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:29 - Jul 4 by N2_Blue |
i think you are in for a big surprise if you believe that.
Labour not get a majority...Absolutely no chance.
It will be at leatst 100 even with a very split vote. If the undeciders go labour then it will approach 200. |
I dont think normal conservative voters will defect to labour. They will spread it among the others. But we will see at 10ish wont we. | | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 19:13 - Jul 4 with 2681 views | RIPbobby |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:20 - Jul 4 by blueasfook |
What do you base this opinion on? The polls are mostly predicting a big Lab majority. |
Just don't think the normal conservative vote will defect to labour and thus it will be spread among the others. | | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 19:16 - Jul 4 with 2651 views | N2_Blue |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 19:12 - Jul 4 by RIPbobby |
I dont think normal conservative voters will defect to labour. They will spread it among the others. But we will see at 10ish wont we. |
They don’t need to. It will still mean a huge labour majority.
The labour vote isn’t increasing that much but the Tory vote will totally collapse. No one that votes labour will vote reform. Many that vote Tory will vote reform or Lib Dem.
The actual battle in this election is for who is the 2nd biggest party pulling for th reason you say of the Tory defectors spreading their vote around. | |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 20:10 - Jul 4 with 2440 views | factual_blue |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 19:12 - Jul 4 by RIPbobby |
I dont think normal conservative voters will defect to labour. They will spread it among the others. But we will see at 10ish wont we. |
Point of information: no tory voters are 'normal'.
And never have been. |  |
| |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 20:14 - Jul 4 with 2411 views | dickie |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 17:41 - Jul 4 by MidlandBlue25 |
Tactical voting in large part doesn't exist. It's a chronically online thing which people who don't use Twitter know little about |
I've voted tactically for years in an attempt the oust to tories. There's no point voting for my personal preference in a FPTP system [Post edited 4 Jul 2024 22:57]
| | | |
| Election is going to be much tighter than the polls say... on 20:19 - Jul 4 with 2386 views | _clive_baker_ |
No chance.
Labour clear majority, only question is by how many. |  | | |
| |
By continuing to use the site, you agree to our use of cookies and to abide by our Terms and Conditions.
