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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) 21:45 - Jul 4 with 18359 viewsNthQldITFC

Exit poll (BBC, Sky, ITV)
10.00pm or soon thereafter.

Estimated declaration times
https://www.standard.co.uk/news/politics/general-election-declaration-times-when

Suffolk
3.00am - Ipswich
3.30am - Bury St Edmunds & Stowmarket
3.30am - Suffolk Coastal
4.00am - Suffolk South
4.00am - Suffolk West
4.00am - Suffolk Central & North Ipswich
4.00am - Waveney Valley

Others of potential interest (biased!)
3.00am - Fareham & Waterlooville (Braverman)
3.15am - Bristol Central (Denyer)
3.30am - Godalming & Ash (Hunt, J)
3.30am - Portsmouth North (Mordaunt)
3.30am - Welwyn Hatfield (Shapps)
4.00am - Richmond & Northallerton (Sunak)
4.00am - Clacton (Farage)
4.30am - Somerset North East & Hanham (Rees-Mogg)
5.00am - Herefordshire North (Chowns - sudo chown Chowns:green *.* )
5.30am - Norfolk South West (Truss)
[Post edited 4 Jul 2024 21:56]

⚔ Long live the Duke of Punuar ⚔
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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 01:17 - Jul 5 with 1815 viewsSwansea_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 01:05 - Jul 5 by RKD

I agree regarding Rory Stewart, and I would not be surprised if he goes on to be PM in the next 10 years. My nickname for him is Tory Blair.


He’s got more sense hasn’t he? I thought David Miliband would come back and rescue Labour, but he had more sense. I suspect Rory is similar. Who knows though - he’d be a welcome addition to the mad house.

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 01:37 - Jul 5 with 1733 viewsTangledupin_Blue

Seems Keegan has lost Chichester to Libdem

Poll: Which Two Will Gain Automatic Promotion?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 01:53 - Jul 5 with 1678 viewsSwansea_Blue

Another bump for Sky News. It’s very good. The guests have been excellent. Maybe not Leadsome lol, but guests like Ruth Davidson, Mick Lynch and John McDonnell have been excellent. Genuine, which is something that’s been in short supply for the last 14 years.

Just announced that Jeremy Hunt is likely to be well beat 🤣

Poll: Do you think Pert is key to all of this?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:09 - Jul 5 with 1612 viewsSwansea_Blue

Labour not doing quite as well as the exit polls suggest. Tories doing better than the poll suggests. But Reform consistently pipping the Tories to 2nd place so far. So it looks like we’re heading for a Labour majority without them increasing the share of the vote massively (they’re winning marginals, but not getting the re-insurance vote where they hammer constituencies), not a complete Tory wipeout, and a better than expected Reform vote.

Sadiq Khan now on Sky saying Starmer will be a unity leader. Hah! I wonder what those on the left of the same party, many of whom have been rejected, will think about that.

Poll: Do you think Pert is key to all of this?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:17 - Jul 5 with 1574 viewsTangledupin_Blue

Labour gain Colchester from Tory

Poll: Which Two Will Gain Automatic Promotion?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:19 - Jul 5 with 1562 viewsreusersfreekicks

Lee Anderson has won.
I feel sick.
Scumbag
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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:24 - Jul 5 with 1524 viewsSwansea_Blue

Lee Anderson is going to be an MP again. Embarrassing. As Ruth Davidson says, appeasement doesn’t work - people should be standing up to these sorts.

Poll: Do you think Pert is key to all of this?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:25 - Jul 5 with 1522 viewsN2_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:09 - Jul 5 by Swansea_Blue

Labour not doing quite as well as the exit polls suggest. Tories doing better than the poll suggests. But Reform consistently pipping the Tories to 2nd place so far. So it looks like we’re heading for a Labour majority without them increasing the share of the vote massively (they’re winning marginals, but not getting the re-insurance vote where they hammer constituencies), not a complete Tory wipeout, and a better than expected Reform vote.

Sadiq Khan now on Sky saying Starmer will be a unity leader. Hah! I wonder what those on the left of the same party, many of whom have been rejected, will think about that.


Labour seem to be doing all right inline with the exit poll to me. Vote share up 2.7% on 2019 so far and taking a seat like Cannock Chase is huge.
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 2:26]

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:27 - Jul 5 with 1509 viewsreusersfreekicks

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:24 - Jul 5 by Swansea_Blue

Lee Anderson is going to be an MP again. Embarrassing. As Ruth Davidson says, appeasement doesn’t work - people should be standing up to these sorts.


You can't appease fascists
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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:28 - Jul 5 with 1500 viewsitfcjoe

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:25 - Jul 5 by N2_Blue

Labour seem to be doing all right inline with the exit poll to me. Vote share up 2.7% on 2019 so far and taking a seat like Cannock Chase is huge.
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 2:26]


The story needs to get back to what an incredible effort from Labour to spread their vote share so efficiently around the country - a masterful campaign

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:28 - Jul 5 with 1500 viewsSharkey

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:17 - Jul 5 by Tangledupin_Blue

Labour gain Colchester from Tory


First time since 1950!
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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:30 - Jul 5 with 1479 viewsN2_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:28 - Jul 5 by itfcjoe

The story needs to get back to what an incredible effort from Labour to spread their vote share so efficiently around the country - a masterful campaign


Spot on.

They got their seat targetting and campaigning spot on based on the gains they've made. Impressive.

Poll: Is it now time to sack Paul Cook?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:30 - Jul 5 with 1476 viewsSwansea_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:25 - Jul 5 by N2_Blue

Labour seem to be doing all right inline with the exit poll to me. Vote share up 2.7% on 2019 so far and taking a seat like Cannock Chase is huge.
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 2:26]


I think they’ll be ok. Labour have just taken Swansea West, with the Tories 5th. That was a big Lib Dem target. It’s going to be a big majority.

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:33 - Jul 5 with 1457 viewsN2_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:30 - Jul 5 by Swansea_Blue

I think they’ll be ok. Labour have just taken Swansea West, with the Tories 5th. That was a big Lib Dem target. It’s going to be a big majority.


They will be. Just wasn't sure why you didn't think Labour were doing as well thus far as the exit poll suggested. If anything i think they are slightly fairing better. Could see them with a 170-180 majority at the moment based on results so far.

Cannock Chase was a masterful bit of targetting by Labour election campaign

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:36 - Jul 5 with 1429 viewsTangledupin_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:30 - Jul 5 by N2_Blue

Spot on.

They got their seat targetting and campaigning spot on based on the gains they've made. Impressive.


George Galloway has lost to Lab

Edit: ...and didn't have the grace to turn up at the announcement. What an ar5e.
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 2:38]

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:37 - Jul 5 with 1419 viewsN2_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:36 - Jul 5 by Tangledupin_Blue

George Galloway has lost to Lab

Edit: ...and didn't have the grace to turn up at the announcement. What an ar5e.
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 2:38]


Excellent!

Poll: Is it now time to sack Paul Cook?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:37 - Jul 5 with 1418 viewslowhouseblue

galloway gone

And so as the loose-bowelled pigeon of time swoops low over the unsuspecting tourist of destiny, and the flatulent skunk of fate wanders into the air-conditioning system of eternity, I notice it's the end of the show

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:45 - Jul 5 with 1340 viewsSwansea_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:30 - Jul 5 by N2_Blue

Spot on.

They got their seat targetting and campaigning spot on based on the gains they've made. Impressive.


Their strategy looks spot on so far. I don’t want to get ahead of myself, but it looks like the exit poll for the Tories was far too optimistic. 41 to 3 after 47 results is far worst than the exit poll suggested. That translates to 604 Labour seats and 41 Tory seats. It won’t end up like that I expect, but it’s heading toward a massive embarrassment for the Tories (shame lol).

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:55 - Jul 5 with 1281 viewswkj

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:45 - Jul 5 by Swansea_Blue

Their strategy looks spot on so far. I don’t want to get ahead of myself, but it looks like the exit poll for the Tories was far too optimistic. 41 to 3 after 47 results is far worst than the exit poll suggested. That translates to 604 Labour seats and 41 Tory seats. It won’t end up like that I expect, but it’s heading toward a massive embarrassment for the Tories (shame lol).


Looks like Ashfield is the first Reform seat in parliament

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:56 - Jul 5 with 1267 viewsTangledupin_Blue

Tories have held West Suffolk with 3,000+ majority

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:58 - Jul 5 with 1242 viewsTangledupin_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:55 - Jul 5 by wkj

Looks like Ashfield is the first Reform seat in parliament


Has been Reform since 30p Lee defected

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 03:01 - Jul 5 with 1202 viewswkj

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 02:58 - Jul 5 by Tangledupin_Blue

Has been Reform since 30p Lee defected


That's true, probably the most safe seat for Reform behind Clacton. Will they get 13? I'm not so sure, some of those seats are very tight.

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 03:03 - Jul 5 with 1171 viewsN2_Blue

Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 03:01 - Jul 5 by wkj

That's true, probably the most safe seat for Reform behind Clacton. Will they get 13? I'm not so sure, some of those seats are very tight.


No chance. 5 at most i think. Still not happy how much vote share they've secured

Poll: Is it now time to sack Paul Cook?

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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 03:04 - Jul 5 with 1170 viewsClapham_Junction

Starmer easily re-elected but oddly received only half the votes he got in 2019 (19k vs 37k last time round)
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Up-all-nighters thread (ooh-er!) on 03:08 - Jul 5 with 1128 viewsTangledupin_Blue

Shapps has lost to Lab
[Post edited 5 Jul 2024 3:09]

Poll: Which Two Will Gain Automatic Promotion?

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