| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 with 2613 views | Pinewoodblue |
New York City it is 1 in 40. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 with 2621 views | ThisIsMyUsername |
I don't really see how anyone can put too much confidence in this sort of testing method. I just don't buy the idea of extrapolating results from 11,000 people and applying them to a population of 56,000,000. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:58 - May 14 with 2618 views | Guthrum |
Matches other random sampling surveys.
The thing about Covid seems to be not that you're very likely to catch it (outside certain scenarios), more that a relatively large proportion of those who do become seriously, even dangerously, ill. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:00 - May 14 with 2600 views | Guthrum |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by ThisIsMyUsername |
I don't really see how anyone can put too much confidence in this sort of testing method. I just don't buy the idea of extrapolating results from 11,000 people and applying them to a population of 56,000,000. |
As long as the sample is a decent cross-section of society and location, it's not a bad indicator. | |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:01 - May 14 with 2593 views | homer_123 |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:58 - May 14 by Guthrum |
Matches other random sampling surveys.
The thing about Covid seems to be not that you're very likely to catch it (outside certain scenarios), more that a relatively large proportion of those who do become seriously, even dangerously, ill. |
And that the virus can do long term damage even if you survive. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:02 - May 14 with 2594 views | homer_123 |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by ThisIsMyUsername |
I don't really see how anyone can put too much confidence in this sort of testing method. I just don't buy the idea of extrapolating results from 11,000 people and applying them to a population of 56,000,000. |
Standardised sampling and weighting being used I suspect.
Whilst nothing is even 100% bullet proof, it provides a pretty decent idea and result. It is also inline with other studies in other countries as well. | |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:13 - May 14 with 2546 views | homer_123 |
Without having read it yet - be interesting to know if the diabetes is merely an underlying health problem that Covid-19 exacerbates or whether it's something specific to diabetics that means they are disproportionately susceptible? | |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:36 - May 14 with 2486 views | BloomBlue |
And your chances of getting cancer is 1 in 2 isnt it. |  | | |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:37 - May 14 with 2489 views | DanTheMan |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:36 - May 14 by BloomBlue |
And your chances of getting cancer is 1 in 2 isnt it. |
At some point in life, yes it is around about that.
Of course cancer isn't contagious, so I'm not really sure what relevance that is. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 18:37 - May 14 with 2399 views | Pecker |
East Anglia is something like 0.7%. |  | | |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 18:41 - May 14 with 2399 views | hampstead_blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by Pinewoodblue |
New York City it is 1 in 40. |
Soon to be 7/11....... |  |
| Assumption is to make an ass out of you and me.
Those who assume they know you, when they don't are just guessing.
Those who assume and insist they know are daft and in denial.
Those who assume, insist, and deny the truth are plain stupid.
Those who assume, insist, deny the truth and tell YOU they know you (when they don't) have an IQ in the range of 35-49.
| | Poll: | Best Blackpool goal |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 18:44 - May 14 with 2389 views | NBVJohn |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by Pinewoodblue |
New York City it is 1 in 40. |
Agree - so for this to be meaningful the UK survey needs to be regionalised.
It would be interesting to see a specific figure for London as a more direct comparison.
Of course, if this over all UK figure is true (and I have my doubts) then the higher the concentration in London and other major Cities, the lower it is elsewhere.
Not that any of this is a reason to ignore social distancing etc! |  | | |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 18:58 - May 14 with 2356 views | m14_blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:36 - May 14 by BloomBlue |
And your chances of getting cancer is 1 in 2 isnt it. |
What on earth is your point? | | | |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 19:08 - May 14 with 2336 views | syntaxerror |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:58 - May 14 by Guthrum |
Matches other random sampling surveys.
The thing about Covid seems to be not that you're very likely to catch it (outside certain scenarios), more that a relatively large proportion of those who do become seriously, even dangerously, ill. |
That's currently has, not has had though.
Estimates are the 'has had' is at 4% of the population. |  | | |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 19:27 - May 14 with 2279 views | factual_blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by ThisIsMyUsername |
I don't really see how anyone can put too much confidence in this sort of testing method. I just don't buy the idea of extrapolating results from 11,000 people and applying them to a population of 56,000,000. |
But you're not Deo Ramprakash though. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 19:33 - May 14 with 2269 views | monytowbray |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:37 - May 14 by DanTheMan |
At some point in life, yes it is around about that.
Of course cancer isn't contagious, so I'm not really sure what relevance that is. |
That and we can mitigate cancer treatment. You can’t mitigate people needing ventilation 2 hours ago as easily. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 19:35 - May 14 with 2262 views | Swansea_Blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by ThisIsMyUsername |
I don't really see how anyone can put too much confidence in this sort of testing method. I just don't buy the idea of extrapolating results from 11,000 people and applying them to a population of 56,000,000. |
Quite. It pops up in hotspots whre there are the conditions that allow it to spread. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 19:51 - May 14 with 2241 views | factual_blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:13 - May 14 by homer_123 |
Without having read it yet - be interesting to know if the diabetes is merely an underlying health problem that Covid-19 exacerbates or whether it's something specific to diabetics that means they are disproportionately susceptible? |
Diabetes compromises the immune system. Add to that the fact that many 'type two' diabetics won't alter their lifestyle, and you get people who lay themselves wide open to viral diseases.
(I speak as a diabetic) | |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 19:54 - May 14 with 2231 views | jas0999 |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by ThisIsMyUsername |
I don't really see how anyone can put too much confidence in this sort of testing method. I just don't buy the idea of extrapolating results from 11,000 people and applying them to a population of 56,000,000. |
Agree | | | |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 19:58 - May 14 with 2226 views | Swansea_Blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:36 - May 14 by BloomBlue |
And your chances of getting cancer is 1 in 2 isnt it. |
Apparently the odds of being born with 11 fingers or toes is 1 in 500.
#PreyForUllaa | |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 20:01 - May 14 with 2219 views | factual_blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 18:37 - May 14 by Pecker |
East Anglia is something like 0.7%. |
Not Staying Alert enough then. | |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 20:52 - May 14 with 2171 views | The_Last_Baron |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 16:57 - May 14 by ThisIsMyUsername |
I don't really see how anyone can put too much confidence in this sort of testing method. I just don't buy the idea of extrapolating results from 11,000 people and applying them to a population of 56,000,000. |
11,000 is a good enough sample to get accurate results so long as it''s weighted properly throughout the UK, as I'd expect it is.
Many political polls are 500 - 1000 which is why they are often a bit off the track. |  |
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| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 21:03 - May 14 with 2157 views | WD19 |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 17:02 - May 14 by homer_123 |
Standardised sampling and weighting being used I suspect.
Whilst nothing is even 100% bullet proof, it provides a pretty decent idea and result. It is also inline with other studies in other countries as well. |
Will be random probability.
Not unrelated to this I ‘know of’ a company that tested all of its staff. Rate amongst them was c.0.3%
It’s all points in a very similar direction.....and is consistent with the belief that <5% of us have had it. |  | | |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 21:20 - May 14 with 2130 views | Swansea_Blue |
| So 1 in 400 has Covid-19 in the UK on 20:52 - May 14 by The_Last_Baron |
11,000 is a good enough sample to get accurate results so long as it''s weighted properly throughout the UK, as I'd expect it is.
Many political polls are 500 - 1000 which is why they are often a bit off the track. |
Extrapolations are irrelevant. Severity isn't related to total population, it's all about the local/regional transmission pathways. China being the perfect exemple. Nobody would deny Wuhan hasn't been significant in all of this; they had 1 in 873 infections, but China as a whole has had 1 in 16,797 people infected.
New york, Lomabrdy are other examples. | |
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