| Covid cases dropping 16:09 - Sep 13 with 7068 views | Trequartista |
The opposite of what was predicted when schools returned even with increased testing. Just as they dropped dramatically when we lifted restrictions (100k new cases a day “inevitable” they said).
No one has a clue what is happening do they? |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 23:30 - Sep 13 with 1589 views | BlueBadger |
| Covid cases dropping on 22:58 - Sep 13 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Interestingly, checking it from the same page the area is wider than the one the other data is for. I wouldn't be surprised if it is higher more locally.
This appears to me like slow spread within the schools from a low initial number of cases but once it spreads within families and then across schools we could have an issue.
Or, in short, a dip in national cases 1 week into term is a little early to be stating the scientists who have predicted a difficult October are wrong. |
Probably worth noting that the universities won't be back into full swing until the back end of the month.
That's a lot of unvaccinated young people moving around the country and mingling to come. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 23:52 - Sep 13 with 1552 views | Swansea_Blue |
| Covid cases dropping on 22:58 - Sep 13 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Interestingly, checking it from the same page the area is wider than the one the other data is for. I wouldn't be surprised if it is higher more locally.
This appears to me like slow spread within the schools from a low initial number of cases but once it spreads within families and then across schools we could have an issue.
Or, in short, a dip in national cases 1 week into term is a little early to be stating the scientists who have predicted a difficult October are wrong. |
It's a worry. We're running at 700+ cases per 100,000 people with a 25% increase over the last week (although that rate of increase is slowing compared to recent weeks). Makes you wonder how much worse it'll get with the schools especially. It's pretty variable by region.
Without the vaccine it'd be absolute carnage at these levels of cases in South Wales; they're making a big difference to the impacts of high case rates, although significant numbers of people are still getting seriously ill. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 06:40 - Sep 14 with 1483 views | solomon |
Considering the remarkable gains we’ve made since the vaccination programme I think it’s entirely reasonable and sensible to just take a step back for the winter, maybe work from home if you can, masks compulsory until spring, social distancing etc. We’ve come too far to mess it all up again. |  | | |
| Covid cases dropping on 07:11 - Sep 14 with 1460 views | Pinewoodblue |
| Covid cases dropping on 06:40 - Sep 14 by solomon |
Considering the remarkable gains we’ve made since the vaccination programme I think it’s entirely reasonable and sensible to just take a step back for the winter, maybe work from home if you can, masks compulsory until spring, social distancing etc. We’ve come too far to mess it all up again. |
To a certain extent we are messing it up already. Mask wearing is virtually non-existent in some age groups. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 08:00 - Sep 14 with 1426 views | Herbivore |
| Covid cases dropping on 07:11 - Sep 14 by Pinewoodblue |
To a certain extent we are messing it up already. Mask wearing is virtually non-existent in some age groups. |
From what I've seen lately it's non-existent in all age groups. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 08:03 - Sep 14 with 1423 views | Dubtractor |
| Covid cases dropping on 08:00 - Sep 14 by Herbivore |
From what I've seen lately it's non-existent in all age groups. |
Yep. Mask wearing is pretty rare in the 0 to 89 age group at the moment. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 09:53 - Sep 14 with 1372 views | WilbrahamBlue |
| Covid cases dropping on 16:28 - Sep 13 by Trequartista |
Do we know if that 3rd week uptick had anything to do with schools? It’s all correlation and no causation. What is the cause of this sudden downturn after weeks of slow increases? No one has a crystal ball so why are told rises are inevitable? |
"Plenty of potential...." |  | | |
| Covid cases dropping on 15:42 - Sep 14 with 1312 views | GlasgowBlue |
| Covid cases dropping on 21:15 - Sep 13 by Herbivore |
Doesn't play well with the CRG, formerly known as the ERG. |
Better figures today herbs.
Yesterday they said that there was a delay in data and those cases would be added in today. If they have been added in today then these figures are even better and we may have turned a corner. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 16:16 - Sep 14 with 1284 views | Herbivore |
| Covid cases dropping on 15:42 - Sep 14 by GlasgowBlue |
Better figures today herbs.
Yesterday they said that there was a delay in data and those cases would be added in today. If they have been added in today then these figures are even better and we may have turned a corner. |
Very encouraging numbers, fingers crossed things carry on in a positive direction. | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 18:23 - Sep 15 with 1194 views | Trequartista |
Continued week-on-week falls for the last couple of days, and now hospitalisations have also dropped, although only for two days which is not enough to say it is definite trend.
But you will be hard pressed to find this in the news which is overwhelmingly negative.
Meanwhile a professor of microbiology at UEA says that vaccinating 12-15 year olds is not a good idea and it is preferable if they get better protection from contracting the disease. How can we know what is the best thing to do when experts take opposite opinions? | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 18:58 - Sep 15 with 1155 views | Digger77 |
| Covid cases dropping on 18:23 - Sep 15 by Trequartista |
Continued week-on-week falls for the last couple of days, and now hospitalisations have also dropped, although only for two days which is not enough to say it is definite trend.
But you will be hard pressed to find this in the news which is overwhelmingly negative.
Meanwhile a professor of microbiology at UEA says that vaccinating 12-15 year olds is not a good idea and it is preferable if they get better protection from contracting the disease. How can we know what is the best thing to do when experts take opposite opinions? |
There are many schools of thought, like with most things.
The decision to recommend jabbing 12-15 year olds is political.
I'm following the science on this one! | | | |
| Covid cases dropping on 19:17 - Sep 15 with 1129 views | J2BLUE |
| Covid cases dropping on 18:23 - Sep 15 by Trequartista |
Continued week-on-week falls for the last couple of days, and now hospitalisations have also dropped, although only for two days which is not enough to say it is definite trend.
But you will be hard pressed to find this in the news which is overwhelmingly negative.
Meanwhile a professor of microbiology at UEA says that vaccinating 12-15 year olds is not a good idea and it is preferable if they get better protection from contracting the disease. How can we know what is the best thing to do when experts take opposite opinions? |
It seems we have a new expert every day disagreeing with the one before. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 20:17 - Sep 15 with 1085 views | Lord_Lucan |
| Covid cases dropping on 18:23 - Sep 15 by Trequartista |
Continued week-on-week falls for the last couple of days, and now hospitalisations have also dropped, although only for two days which is not enough to say it is definite trend.
But you will be hard pressed to find this in the news which is overwhelmingly negative.
Meanwhile a professor of microbiology at UEA says that vaccinating 12-15 year olds is not a good idea and it is preferable if they get better protection from contracting the disease. How can we know what is the best thing to do when experts take opposite opinions? |
In my opinion all these so called experts should get off their high horses and take note of TWTD 10 pagers. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 21:42 - Sep 24 with 921 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
Wondering how this thread has aged. Not caught up with the overall national picture but schools are not looking good round here. Around 10% absence due to Covid in one I know of. Unclear how many of those are positive results (there are a lot I am aware of), symptomatic or isolating for other reasons.
The scientific prediction was "we are in for a difficult October". It looks that way from where I am. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 22:07 - Sep 24 with 864 views | Trequartista |
| Covid cases dropping on 21:42 - Sep 24 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Wondering how this thread has aged. Not caught up with the overall national picture but schools are not looking good round here. Around 10% absence due to Covid in one I know of. Unclear how many of those are positive results (there are a lot I am aware of), symptomatic or isolating for other reasons.
The scientific prediction was "we are in for a difficult October". It looks that way from where I am. |
Quite well i think. The drop was sustained for around 10 days, and although we are now rising again (fuelled by 5-18 age group surge), we're still lower than when i posted this plus hospitalisations have dropped and deaths have levelled. | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 22:14 - Sep 24 with 857 views | Pinewoodblue |
| Covid cases dropping on 21:42 - Sep 24 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Wondering how this thread has aged. Not caught up with the overall national picture but schools are not looking good round here. Around 10% absence due to Covid in one I know of. Unclear how many of those are positive results (there are a lot I am aware of), symptomatic or isolating for other reasons.
The scientific prediction was "we are in for a difficult October". It looks that way from where I am. |
You have to wonder how different it would be if more people wore masks in enclosed places. We are averaging 30-35,000 new cases a day many of them not showing any symptoms and unknowingly passing the virus on to others , because they are not masked.
Currently if you go on a cruise in British waters you are tested at the port before being allowed to board. I know a guy who flew from Edinburgh to Southampton and was refused boarding. There are remarkably few new cases being picked up while on a cruise which reinforces the benefit of mask wearing etc.
Can you imagine the benefit if mask wearing was introduced at just sixth form colleges? | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 22:32 - Sep 24 with 829 views | Swansea_Blue |
| Covid cases dropping on 22:14 - Sep 24 by Pinewoodblue |
You have to wonder how different it would be if more people wore masks in enclosed places. We are averaging 30-35,000 new cases a day many of them not showing any symptoms and unknowingly passing the virus on to others , because they are not masked.
Currently if you go on a cruise in British waters you are tested at the port before being allowed to board. I know a guy who flew from Edinburgh to Southampton and was refused boarding. There are remarkably few new cases being picked up while on a cruise which reinforces the benefit of mask wearing etc.
Can you imagine the benefit if mask wearing was introduced at just sixth form colleges? |
We seem to have imported England’s move to no masks. I think it was you who mentioned further up the thread that people had stopped wearing masks. At that time (about 2 weeks ago) you rarely saw someone in a shop here in Swansea without a mask on. Now it’s the norm.
I’ve been holed up mostly with a bad cold for the last 10 days, but gone out today and it’s like a different world. Maybe there’s been a rule change here I missed. | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 23:28 - Sep 24 with 798 views | Pinewoodblue |
| Covid cases dropping on 22:32 - Sep 24 by Swansea_Blue |
We seem to have imported England’s move to no masks. I think it was you who mentioned further up the thread that people had stopped wearing masks. At that time (about 2 weeks ago) you rarely saw someone in a shop here in Swansea without a mask on. Now it’s the norm.
I’ve been holed up mostly with a bad cold for the last 10 days, but gone out today and it’s like a different world. Maybe there’s been a rule change here I missed. |
Non mask wearing is infectious. Went away for weekend break, and each evening the number wearing masks dropped. | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 12:23 - Sep 26 with 668 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
Further update - I had a positive lateral flow this morning. Awaiting the results of a PCR. | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 14:41 - Sep 26 with 613 views | Swansea_Blue |
| Covid cases dropping on 12:23 - Sep 26 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Further update - I had a positive lateral flow this morning. Awaiting the results of a PCR. |
Hope you're feeling ok NSB | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 14:47 - Sep 26 with 598 views | GlasgowBlue |
| Covid cases dropping on 12:23 - Sep 26 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Further update - I had a positive lateral flow this morning. Awaiting the results of a PCR. |
Sorry to hear that. Get well soon. | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 16:45 - Sep 26 with 541 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Covid cases dropping on 14:47 - Sep 26 by GlasgowBlue |
Sorry to hear that. Get well soon. |
Thanks both. Started as a heavy cold - no Covid symptoms so continued in school. Took my lateral flow on Wednesday and it was negative. After a long week and a few events, developed a sore throat which I checked whether I should get a PCR over as it is a new variant symptom. Was told, no it is only the classic 3 symptoms for a PCR. Only did the PCR as it was offered due to rates in the school. Did the lateral flow as I am waiting for the PCR result and didn't want to carry on as normal if it does show what is has done.
Now got a high temperature on and off and a tight chest. I am double jabbed so trust it won't be too bad. Wife is also double jabbed. Hope the children keep well too. | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 16:56 - Sep 26 with 530 views | chrismakin |
| Covid cases dropping on 16:45 - Sep 26 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Thanks both. Started as a heavy cold - no Covid symptoms so continued in school. Took my lateral flow on Wednesday and it was negative. After a long week and a few events, developed a sore throat which I checked whether I should get a PCR over as it is a new variant symptom. Was told, no it is only the classic 3 symptoms for a PCR. Only did the PCR as it was offered due to rates in the school. Did the lateral flow as I am waiting for the PCR result and didn't want to carry on as normal if it does show what is has done.
Now got a high temperature on and off and a tight chest. I am double jabbed so trust it won't be too bad. Wife is also double jabbed. Hope the children keep well too. |
I too had a positive lateral test this morning. Had a pcr 40 mins ago. Will be 3rd time of getting covid if positive pcr. Double jabbed too. |  |
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| Covid cases dropping on 16:58 - Sep 26 with 524 views | Nthsuffolkblue |
| Covid cases dropping on 16:56 - Sep 26 by chrismakin |
I too had a positive lateral test this morning. Had a pcr 40 mins ago. Will be 3rd time of getting covid if positive pcr. Double jabbed too. |
Hope you too stay well.
I presume you have had significant time between each positive test (isn't it something like 3 months or it is considered residue from the previous infection?). | |
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| Covid cases dropping on 17:03 - Sep 26 with 518 views | WeWereZombies |
| Covid cases dropping on 16:45 - Sep 26 by Nthsuffolkblue |
Thanks both. Started as a heavy cold - no Covid symptoms so continued in school. Took my lateral flow on Wednesday and it was negative. After a long week and a few events, developed a sore throat which I checked whether I should get a PCR over as it is a new variant symptom. Was told, no it is only the classic 3 symptoms for a PCR. Only did the PCR as it was offered due to rates in the school. Did the lateral flow as I am waiting for the PCR result and didn't want to carry on as normal if it does show what is has done.
Now got a high temperature on and off and a tight chest. I am double jabbed so trust it won't be too bad. Wife is also double jabbed. Hope the children keep well too. |
I hope that this is just that heavy cold bug that is going around but if not then hope that, as you say, the vaccinations mean that you do not get Covid-19 to the extent that you would have done this time last year.
And it is worth pointing out in relation to Trequartista's assertion in the OP, and as a reminder to keep mask wearing and hand washing and social distancing, that the United Kingdom currently stands fourth in the table of cases of Covid to date, eighth in Covid deaths to date, second in active cases and nineteenth in severe/critical cases at present. The per capita figures are not encouraging either - twenty fourth in cases and twenty fifth in deaths. Worldwide the daily deaths and daily cases are still ahead of where they were last year, peaks and troughs in the patterns of the graphs but no sign of teh spread abating at present. |  |
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