| Yanky election forecast 13:51 - Nov 2 with 15937 views | bluelagos |
Glory of being named Twtd political guru of 2020 to the winner. A virtual plate of J2's eggs to the loser.
https://www.270towin.com/
(Biden - Trump)
Harry10 369 - 169
Spruce 360 - 178
Tangledupin 357 - 181
ElderGrizzly 354 - 184
Kropotkin 348 - 188
ItfcJoe 348 - 190
XOYO 345 - 193
NQueensland 344 - 194
WWZombie 335 - 203
Footers 326 - 212
Lagos 324 - 214
Mookamoo 320 - 218
ArnoldM 306 - 232
Rommy 302 - 236
Wicklow 297 - 241
C-HealyIsapleasure 294 -244
Tractordownsouth 290 - 248
Ftnfwest 290-248
TonyTown 286 - 252
BABlue 282 - 256
PointofBlue 279-259
Glassers 279 - 259
Trequart* 278 - 260
DinDjarin 277 - 261
Pinewoodblue 276 - 261
Gordon 275 - 263 with Trump throwing the teddy out the pram
Ryorry 272 - 266
J2Blue 259 - 259 with Pennsylvannia going to penalties.
Bankster 267 - 271
Swanners 265 - 273
BlueGold 264 - 274
Pinewood 260 - 278
TheTrueBlue 260 -278
[Post edited 4 Nov 2020 14:46]
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| Yanky election forecast on 17:36 - Nov 2 with 1323 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:28 - Nov 2 by Tangledupin_Blue |
Yep...
Biden 357 Trump 181
Alabama, T 9
Alaska, T 3
Arizona, B 11
Arkansas, T 6
California, B 55
Colorado, B 9
Connecticut, B 7
Delaware, B 3
D.C., B 3
Florida, B 29
Georgia, B 16
Hawaii, B 4
Idaho, T 4
Illinois, B 20
Indiana, T 11
Iowa, B 6
Kansas, T 6
Kentucky, T 8
Louisiana, T 8
Maine, B 4
Maryland, B 10
Massachusetts, B 11
Michigan, B 16
Minnesota, B 10
Mississippi, T 6
Missouri, T 10
Montana, T 3
Nebraska, B 1, T 4
Nevada, B 6
New Hampshire, B 4
New Jersey, B 14
New Mexico, B 5
New York, B 29
North Carolina, B 15
North Dakota, T 3
Ohio, T 18
Oklahoma, T 7
Oregon, B 7
Pennsylvania, B 20
Rhode Island, B 4
South Carolina, T 9
South Dakota, T 3
Tennessee, T 11
Texas, T 38
Utah, T 6
Vermont, B 3
Virginia, B 13
Washington, B 12
West Virginia, T 5
Wisconsin, B 10
Wyoming, T 3 |
I'm worried about Florida, personally. The polls have been tightening. The Hispanic demographic is largely anti-Castro Cuban, who are historically Republican (as in Ollie North style Republican) as opposed to Mexican and other Central and South Americans who are more likely to be Democrat (and who Trump has vilified).
Trump and his cronies have been hammering Florida. There's a lot of redneck country in between the cities, too.
If Biden wins it, then he has won. If he loses it, he can still win.
Georgia is now looking more likely, with an energised Black vote in Atlanta key to a Biden victory. |  | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:39 - Nov 2 with 1311 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:35 - Nov 2 by footers |
I work in markets for a US-based company so don't have much choice in the matter, unfortunately. We'll be reporting all night on any small twist and turn that spooks traders! |
Then they'll have to cut you some slack at the other end of the day.
The European Working Hours Directive is your friend. Still applies for another 59 days!
And I thought Class As were a "line" on expenses for you city boys? | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:41 - Nov 2 with 1305 views | footers |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:39 - Nov 2 by ArnoldMoorhen |
Then they'll have to cut you some slack at the other end of the day.
The European Working Hours Directive is your friend. Still applies for another 59 days!
And I thought Class As were a "line" on expenses for you city boys? |
I'm just a lowly writer, so none of the perks of the job, I'm afraid!
Yeah, I'm planning to hit the beers at 16:00 on Wednesday and have a good long sleep :) |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 17:41 - Nov 2 with 1305 views | jaseitfc2015 |
306-232 Biden win | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:52 - Nov 2 with 1269 views | VeronaBlue |
289 - 249 | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:55 - Nov 2 with 1263 views | eireblue |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:41 - Nov 2 by footers |
I'm just a lowly writer, so none of the perks of the job, I'm afraid!
Yeah, I'm planning to hit the beers at 16:00 on Wednesday and have a good long sleep :) |
Why would you plan that? Isn’t that the norm, or have I been doing Wednesdays wrong? |  | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:59 - Nov 2 with 1251 views | footers |
Here's your list lagos, but I've put them in descending order.
Harry10 369 - 169
Spruce 360 - 178
Tangledupin 357 - 181
ElderGrizzly 354 - 184
Kropotkin 348 - 188
Footers 326 - 212
Lagos 324 - 214
Mookamoo 320 - 218
ArnoldM 306 - 232
Wicklow 297 - 241
Pinewoodblue Biden by 15
C-HealyIsapleasure 294 -244
Tractordownsouth 290 - 248
Ftnfwest 290-248
DinDjarin 277 - 261
Gordon 275 - 263 with Trump throwing the teddy out the pram
Bankster 267 - 271
TheTrueBlue 260 -278
J2Blue 259 - 259 with Pennsylvannia going to penalties. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:00 - Nov 2 with 1246 views | footers |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:55 - Nov 2 by eireblue |
Why would you plan that? Isn’t that the norm, or have I been doing Wednesdays wrong? |
True enough.
OK, "I'm planning to hit the beers much harder than usual and pass out in a pile of cheap Polish lager cans and discarded Indian takeaway boxes around 9pm."
That sound any better? | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:05 - Nov 2 with 1239 views | The_Romford_Blue |
Biden 302-236 Trump [Post edited 2 Nov 2020 18:08]
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:06 - Nov 2 with 1237 views | footers |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:05 - Nov 2 by The_Romford_Blue |
Biden 302-236 Trump [Post edited 2 Nov 2020 18:08]
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I think your maths needs a little work, young man. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:09 - Nov 2 with 1232 views | The_Romford_Blue |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:06 - Nov 2 by footers |
I think your maths needs a little work, young man. |
That app gave me two numbers that didn’t even add up to 538 so I’ve ignored the app now and gone my own way.
I can only think I somehow missed a state or something somehow because it was way short of the 538 required | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:12 - Nov 2 with 1222 views | SpruceMoose |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:09 - Nov 2 by The_Romford_Blue |
That app gave me two numbers that didn’t even add up to 538 so I’ve ignored the app now and gone my own way.
I can only think I somehow missed a state or something somehow because it was way short of the 538 required |
Nebraska and Maine split the state into different congressional districts. Maybe there! |  |
| Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country." | | Poll: | Selectamod |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:15 - Nov 2 with 1212 views | jeera |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:12 - Nov 2 by SpruceMoose |
Nebraska and Maine split the state into different congressional districts. Maybe there! |
So what time is it all beginning to happen and when are we expecting actual results?
Sorry, I can't be bothered to look it up when the info is probably already here. [Post edited 2 Nov 2020 18:33]
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:17 - Nov 2 with 1206 views | The_Romford_Blue |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:12 - Nov 2 by SpruceMoose |
Nebraska and Maine split the state into different congressional districts. Maybe there! |
Ahhh that would’ve been it. Thanks.
I’ve just ended up round it up to equalling the right number myself. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:26 - Nov 2 with 1189 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:15 - Nov 2 by jeera |
So what time is it all beginning to happen and when are we expecting actual results?
Sorry, I can't be bothered to look it up when the info is probably already here. [Post edited 2 Nov 2020 18:33]
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I'm not expecting an actual, definite winner until Thursday, and that's if Biden wins fairly comfortably. If it's tight, it could take weeks.
But as the UK wakes up on Wednesday morning there should be a pretty solid idea of which of those two scenarios is the more likely. It will either be "Early indications are good for Biden" or "Nobody knows how this will turn out until Early Ballots are counted in Pennsylvania". And that will take a while. And then, if it is that close, there will be loads of legal challenges all over the shop. | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:27 - Nov 2 with 1188 views | BanksterDebtSlave |
| Yanky election forecast on 16:13 - Nov 2 by SpruceMoose |
Tell you what, to make it a bit more fun, if I am within +/- 5 points of the final result I'll donate fifty quid to the charity of TWTDs choice. |
If I am right I am getting really p1ssed and will then donate to AA. |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:34 - Nov 2 with 1166 views | SpruceMoose |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:26 - Nov 2 by ArnoldMoorhen |
I'm not expecting an actual, definite winner until Thursday, and that's if Biden wins fairly comfortably. If it's tight, it could take weeks.
But as the UK wakes up on Wednesday morning there should be a pretty solid idea of which of those two scenarios is the more likely. It will either be "Early indications are good for Biden" or "Nobody knows how this will turn out until Early Ballots are counted in Pennsylvania". And that will take a while. And then, if it is that close, there will be loads of legal challenges all over the shop. |
It's looking like we won't find the results for PA for severla days.
So, if Biden takes NC (which will probably announce around 10pmEST) then I'mma relax a little.
If he takes Arizona, Imma relax a little more.
If Dems take Georgia too (which their actions seems to suggest they're confident of) then I'mma relax completely and not worry about PA.
If Dems take Texas then I'mma bust open all the booze in my house.
I have a hunch that suburban, college educated women are going to be the surprise bumper underpolled voters this time round. | |
| Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country." | | Poll: | Selectamod |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:38 - Nov 2 with 1155 views | jeera |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:34 - Nov 2 by SpruceMoose |
It's looking like we won't find the results for PA for severla days.
So, if Biden takes NC (which will probably announce around 10pmEST) then I'mma relax a little.
If he takes Arizona, Imma relax a little more.
If Dems take Georgia too (which their actions seems to suggest they're confident of) then I'mma relax completely and not worry about PA.
If Dems take Texas then I'mma bust open all the booze in my house.
I have a hunch that suburban, college educated women are going to be the surprise bumper underpolled voters this time round. |
Not news to you I know but I saw a piece yesterday that said how so many more younger people are turning out for this election than the last.
On interviewing a few it was concluded that many of the youngsters were over-complacent last time and there was a sense that the adults had this.
Now they've witnessed for themselves what can happen there is far more of a determination to be part of things, which can only be a positive outcome if any is to be found from this mess of the past few years. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:39 - Nov 2 with 1153 views | wkj |
I am predicting a Trump win. I predicted Hilary in 2016 and Remain in the Bexit vote, so I figured I will try and be wrong a third time.
However #TrumpLandslideWin is trending on twitter, so... the election is as good as won for the chief P***y Grabber. |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:42 - Nov 2 with 1139 views | reusersfreekicks |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:34 - Nov 2 by SpruceMoose |
It's looking like we won't find the results for PA for severla days.
So, if Biden takes NC (which will probably announce around 10pmEST) then I'mma relax a little.
If he takes Arizona, Imma relax a little more.
If Dems take Georgia too (which their actions seems to suggest they're confident of) then I'mma relax completely and not worry about PA.
If Dems take Texas then I'mma bust open all the booze in my house.
I have a hunch that suburban, college educated women are going to be the surprise bumper underpolled voters this time round. |
Crazy that it's still in doubt. Before this populist madness Trump would not have been elected to a parish council. He is like a cartoon character in his madness and badness. He is pursuing policies and holding events that will kill people and even some of those he openly castigates vote for him. The level of ignorance is just ridiculous. How can people be so easily fooled by an eogotistical idiot?? |  | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:44 - Nov 2 with 1128 views | jeera |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:42 - Nov 2 by reusersfreekicks |
Crazy that it's still in doubt. Before this populist madness Trump would not have been elected to a parish council. He is like a cartoon character in his madness and badness. He is pursuing policies and holding events that will kill people and even some of those he openly castigates vote for him. The level of ignorance is just ridiculous. How can people be so easily fooled by an eogotistical idiot?? |
It doesn't matter how many times we see it with our own eyes, it still doesn't make any sense does it. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:48 - Nov 2 with 1116 views | SpruceMoose |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:38 - Nov 2 by jeera |
Not news to you I know but I saw a piece yesterday that said how so many more younger people are turning out for this election than the last.
On interviewing a few it was concluded that many of the youngsters were over-complacent last time and there was a sense that the adults had this.
Now they've witnessed for themselves what can happen there is far more of a determination to be part of things, which can only be a positive outcome if any is to be found from this mess of the past few years. |
That's the point I keep coming back to.
Do you believe that this massive turnout has been inspired by Trump to vote for him, or against him? Don't forget to factor in that he's never had an approval rating above 50%.
I can't see how he's found and inspired millions of additional voters who typically don't vote, or vote democratic.
I just can't see it. I believe these people are largely coming out to vote against him. I'll find out tomorrow I guess! | |
| Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country." | | Poll: | Selectamod |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:51 - Nov 2 with 1105 views | jeera |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:48 - Nov 2 by SpruceMoose |
That's the point I keep coming back to.
Do you believe that this massive turnout has been inspired by Trump to vote for him, or against him? Don't forget to factor in that he's never had an approval rating above 50%.
I can't see how he's found and inspired millions of additional voters who typically don't vote, or vote democratic.
I just can't see it. I believe these people are largely coming out to vote against him. I'll find out tomorrow I guess! |
Well the people I am referring to looked normal so I'd assume they are showing up to vote against the incumbent lunatic. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:57 - Nov 2 with 1092 views | reusersfreekicks |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:44 - Nov 2 by jeera |
It doesn't matter how many times we see it with our own eyes, it still doesn't make any sense does it. |
Not to me, should be a fringe 1 or 2% not 40%+. Don't think i will ever understand! | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 19:01 - Nov 2 with 1086 views | SpruceMoose |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:57 - Nov 2 by reusersfreekicks |
Not to me, should be a fringe 1 or 2% not 40%+. Don't think i will ever understand! |
Sadly it comes down to education, and vast swathes of the country have a high school diploma as their highest level of education (if that).
The Republicans like to keep their voters poor, dumb and angry but dress it up as patriotism. | |
| Pronouns: He/Him/His.
"Imagine being a heterosexual white male in Britain at this moment. How bad is that. Everything you say is racist, everything you say is homophobic. The Woke community have really f****d this country." | | Poll: | Selectamod |
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