| Yanky election forecast 13:51 - Nov 2 with 15938 views | bluelagos |
Glory of being named Twtd political guru of 2020 to the winner. A virtual plate of J2's eggs to the loser.
https://www.270towin.com/
(Biden - Trump)
Harry10 369 - 169
Spruce 360 - 178
Tangledupin 357 - 181
ElderGrizzly 354 - 184
Kropotkin 348 - 188
ItfcJoe 348 - 190
XOYO 345 - 193
NQueensland 344 - 194
WWZombie 335 - 203
Footers 326 - 212
Lagos 324 - 214
Mookamoo 320 - 218
ArnoldM 306 - 232
Rommy 302 - 236
Wicklow 297 - 241
C-HealyIsapleasure 294 -244
Tractordownsouth 290 - 248
Ftnfwest 290-248
TonyTown 286 - 252
BABlue 282 - 256
PointofBlue 279-259
Glassers 279 - 259
Trequart* 278 - 260
DinDjarin 277 - 261
Pinewoodblue 276 - 261
Gordon 275 - 263 with Trump throwing the teddy out the pram
Ryorry 272 - 266
J2Blue 259 - 259 with Pennsylvannia going to penalties.
Bankster 267 - 271
Swanners 265 - 273
BlueGold 264 - 274
Pinewood 260 - 278
TheTrueBlue 260 -278
[Post edited 4 Nov 2020 14:46]
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| Yanky election forecast on 20:20 - Nov 4 with 1995 views | footers |
Poor old Trekkie is just very unfortunate.
He rocks up to UK politics threads, not in the defence of Tories you must understand, just to point out where Labour went wrong.
And then in Brexit threads, not that he's in support of it, but just to add balance supportive to pro-Leave.
Now he's all for Biden (wink wink), but also wants to call out people who'd called a larger Biden majority. |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 20:25 - Nov 4 with 1963 views | Trequartista |
| Yanky election forecast on 20:20 - Nov 4 by footers |
Poor old Trekkie is just very unfortunate.
He rocks up to UK politics threads, not in the defence of Tories you must understand, just to point out where Labour went wrong.
And then in Brexit threads, not that he's in support of it, but just to add balance supportive to pro-Leave.
Now he's all for Biden (wink wink), but also wants to call out people who'd called a larger Biden majority. |
Completely missing the point which was about opinion poll accuracy not support of any candidate, but carry on. |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 20:27 - Nov 4 with 1957 views | footers |
| Yanky election forecast on 20:25 - Nov 4 by Trequartista |
Completely missing the point which was about opinion poll accuracy not support of any candidate, but carry on. |
Know which way your bread's buttered, matey boy  | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 10:10 - Nov 8 with 1812 views | Ryorry |
Projections now anyone? |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 10:37 - Nov 8 with 1816 views | NthQldITFC |
Looks like ArnoldMoorhen nailed it to me 306 - 232.
Biden 279 + AZ + GA = 306
Dump 214 + NC + AK = 232
Did you have every state called right? |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 10:41 - Nov 8 with 1811 views | WeWereZombies |
| Yanky election forecast on 10:10 - Nov 8 by Ryorry |
Projections now anyone? |
Al Jazeera are calling it 290 to 214 at the moment, let's assume that the remaining thirty four seats go two thirds Biden and one third to Trump. So how does Biden 312 to Trump 226 sound? |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 11:01 - Nov 8 with 1798 views | tractordownsouth |
I was 1 state away - thought Trump would narrowly hold on to Georgia. |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 11:32 - Nov 8 with 1771 views | bluelagos |
| Yanky election forecast on 10:10 - Nov 8 by Ryorry |
Projections now anyone? |
Yep, think we can settle on Biden 306 so AMurhen is the undisputed Twtd Politcal forecaster for 2020.
Anyone wanting to take legal action or a recount can gtf | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 11:40 - Nov 8 with 1767 views | footers |
| Yanky election forecast on 11:32 - Nov 8 by bluelagos |
Yep, think we can settle on Biden 306 so AMurhen is the undisputed Twtd Politcal forecaster for 2020.
Anyone wanting to take legal action or a recount can gtf |
FAKE NEWS
Rudy will be calling Phil tomorrow on my behalf.
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| Yanky election forecast on 11:44 - Nov 8 with 1758 views | bluelagos |
| Yanky election forecast on 11:40 - Nov 8 by footers |
FAKE NEWS
Rudy will be calling Phil tomorrow on my behalf.
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Loving the video of him yesterday stating it isn't TV networks that decide elections but the courts.
Last time I checked it was the voters Rudy  | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 11:47 - Nov 8 with 1756 views | footers |
| Yanky election forecast on 11:44 - Nov 8 by bluelagos |
Loving the video of him yesterday stating it isn't TV networks that decide elections but the courts.
Last time I checked it was the voters Rudy |
Now we're in for months of "I hated working for Trump, I was basically bullied into it and what a horrible man he is" interviews from all the lackeys...
Bunch of tossers. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 12:05 - Nov 8 with 1745 views | J2BLUE |
| Yanky election forecast on 11:44 - Nov 8 by bluelagos |
Loving the video of him yesterday stating it isn't TV networks that decide elections but the courts.
Last time I checked it was the voters Rudy |
It's been quite amusing to see a lot of conversations like this:
Interviewer: "what is your opinion on the election result?"
Trump cultist: "THIS IS UNFAIR, THE ELECTION HAS BEEN STOLEN FROM DONALD TRUMP. THERE HAVE BEEN SO MANY ILLEGAL VOTES AND THE DEMOCRATS HAVE STOLEN THE ELECTION. YOU CANNOT STEAL ELECTIONS, IT IS THE WILL OF THE PEOPLE AND THE PEOPLE CHOSE DONALD TRUMP"
I: "ok but if it could be proven that Joe Biden won this election fairly and legally would you accept the result?"
TC: ".............." |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 12:44 - Nov 8 with 1722 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
| Yanky election forecast on 10:37 - Nov 8 by NthQldITFC |
Looks like ArnoldMoorhen nailed it to me 306 - 232.
Biden 279 + AZ + GA = 306
Dump 214 + NC + AK = 232
Did you have every state called right? |
Yes, he blushes modestly.
And, as I said in the Chatroom on the night, I never bet.
But I called it all spot on on the night as well, when there was panic at 3am that Biden would lose.
I have watched a lot of CNN over the past fortnight, and refreshed the Guardian Poll of polls tracker every day. I knew that Florida was going to go to Trump. I totally believed in Gabbie Giffords and Mark Kelly in Arizona and the Black Vote Activists in Georgia.
And I never bet.
But I would have made a lot of money. And I kind of regret that I didn't.
Which is why I never bet.
It's niggling me, isn't it? Can you tell? |  | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 12:58 - Nov 8 with 1708 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:41 - Nov 2 by jaseitfc2015 |
306-232 Biden win |
Jase nailed it, too. | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 13:04 - Nov 8 with 1704 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
| Yanky election forecast on 16:12 - Nov 2 by ArnoldMoorhen |
I'm going Biden 306 Trump 232
Eventually.
It's going to take until at least Thursday for Biden to definitively cross 270, and a week after that for all results to be clear, possibly longer for every vote to be counted.
Court cases ongoing in Texas over whether over 120,000 votes which have already been cast in drive-through polling stations will even count.
Many States not allowing Mail In votes which arrive after Tuesday: Democrats may contest that if they then lose tight races.
Many States allowing Mail In votes which arrive after Tuesday: Republicans will contest that regardless if Trump is looking down and out.
The possibility of legal action over voter suppression if Trump supporters with guns turn up to "monitor the vote" in Democrat strongholds in Southern States.
And the potential for Electoral College shenanigans is there again, as it was in 2016.
It's going to be very messy.
The Senate vote is the really interesting one:
For those that don't know, the Senate isn't elected all at once, like the British parliament. Roughly a third of seats (35) are up for grabs, and many of them have Republican incumbents, so give the Democrats a chance to flip the Senate.
Explained here: https://www.greenmatters.com/p/what-senate-seats-are-up-2020
Although polls suggest the Democrats can do it, I fear that the Republicans will j u s t keep hold of the Senate, with some Republican voters not voting for Trump, but voting for the Republican Senate candidate. Democrats need 51-49 on Senate to gain it, which will be enough for Biden to implement his manifesto without real problems, but need a 60-40 majority to make real systemic change by reforming the Supreme Court or Electoral College through amendments to the Constitution. |
Oh man, I totally called the Senate race, too.
I would have made so much money.
But I never bet. | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:39 - Nov 8 with 1659 views | StochesStotasBlewe |
| Yanky election forecast on 13:04 - Nov 8 by ArnoldMoorhen |
Oh man, I totally called the Senate race, too.
I would have made so much money.
But I never bet. |
This coming Tuesday evenings winning Euro-millions numbers would be nice.
I will bet on your behalf. |  |
| We have no village green, or a shop.
It's very, very quiet.
I can walk to the pub. |
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| Yanky election forecast on 17:40 - Nov 8 with 1656 views | PhilTWTD |
| Yanky election forecast on 11:40 - Nov 8 by footers |
FAKE NEWS
Rudy will be calling Phil tomorrow on my behalf.
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I believe he's called a press conference in the car park at B&Q. |  | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:48 - Nov 8 with 1630 views | footers |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:40 - Nov 8 by PhilTWTD |
I believe he's called a press conference in the car park at B&Q. |
Perfect. I've been in the market for a new caulk gun for ages but been putting it off. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 17:55 - Nov 8 with 1621 views | NthQldITFC |
| Yanky election forecast on 17:48 - Nov 8 by footers |
Perfect. I've been in the market for a new caulk gun for ages but been putting it off. |
No second amendment here old boy, leave your caulk gun at 'ome. | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 17:56 - Nov 8 with 1618 views | NthQldITFC |
| Yanky election forecast on 12:44 - Nov 8 by ArnoldMoorhen |
Yes, he blushes modestly.
And, as I said in the Chatroom on the night, I never bet.
But I called it all spot on on the night as well, when there was panic at 3am that Biden would lose.
I have watched a lot of CNN over the past fortnight, and refreshed the Guardian Poll of polls tracker every day. I knew that Florida was going to go to Trump. I totally believed in Gabbie Giffords and Mark Kelly in Arizona and the Black Vote Activists in Georgia.
And I never bet.
But I would have made a lot of money. And I kind of regret that I didn't.
Which is why I never bet.
It's niggling me, isn't it? Can you tell? |
I think I had the same, but foolishly fell for the possibility of Texas going blue! Like, REALLY? | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 21:37 - Nov 8 with 1573 views | The_Romford_Blue |
I was 4 seats away! Happy with that. Well done AM |  |
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| Yanky election forecast on 22:33 - Nov 8 with 1537 views | Ryorry |
| Yanky election forecast on 21:37 - Nov 8 by The_Romford_Blue |
I was 4 seats away! Happy with that. Well done AM |
The sheer fact of Biden being over the line makes us all winners irrespective of the precise numbers  
Particularly well done to ArnieM tho  | |
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| Yanky election forecast on 18:54 - Nov 9 with 1468 views | ArnoldMoorhen |
| Yanky election forecast on 22:33 - Nov 8 by Ryorry |
The sheer fact of Biden being over the line makes us all winners irrespective of the precise numbers
Particularly well done to ArnieM tho |
Just for clarity, my username is ArnoldMoorhen and I am in now way intending to piggy back on the long established poster ArnieM. | | | |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:55 - Nov 9 with 1461 views | Ryorry |
| Yanky election forecast on 18:54 - Nov 9 by ArnoldMoorhen |
Just for clarity, my username is ArnoldMoorhen and I am in now way intending to piggy back on the long established poster ArnieM. |
Sorry!  | |
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