Forum | Boris vote sweepstake by bluelagos

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Boris vote sweepstake 11:02 - Jun 6 with 4623 views

359 votes to split for/against Johnson.

I'll predict

Johnson 252
Against 104
Non votes 3

(Which I reckon means he limps on for maybe 6 more months much like May did before they get the knives out for the final kill)

[Post edited 6 Jun 2022 11:03]

Poll:

This new lockdown poll - what you reckon?

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:05 - Jun 6 with 2446 views

J2BLUE

Come on, this is the banter era of not just ITFC but of the UK.

He'll win it 187-172, or 52%-48%...

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Boris vote sweepstake on 11:07 - Jun 6 with 2430 views

hype313

Unlikely Boris will lost outright this evening. Key threshold most MPs are looking at is 100 votes against. If he keeps it below that heâ€™s probably secure until the next election. Anything above and heâ€™s a dead man walking.
— (((Dan Hodges))) (@DPJHodges) June 6, 2022

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Boris vote sweepstake on 11:08 - Jun 6 with 2421 views

blueasfook

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:05 - Jun 6 by J2BLUE
Come on, this is the banter era of not just ITFC but of the UK. He'll win it 187-172, or 52%-48%...

Just like the Brexit vote. Everything in the UK is now decided 52%-48%, leaving huge chunks of people to whine about the outcome.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 11:08 - Jun 6 with 2417 views

BLUEGOLD

I think that guess is pretty accurate.

There are probably about 60 letters in and you’d expect another 40 to vote against him.

A normal PM would probably quit in the next few weeks. This one is not normal.

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:11 - Jun 6 with 2393 views

bluelagos

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:05 - Jun 6 by J2BLUE
Come on, this is the banter era of not just ITFC but of the UK. He'll win it 187-172, or 52%-48%...

If he were to lose 52-48% it would be possibly the most beautiful bit of schadenfreude ever :-)

Poll:

This new lockdown poll - what you reckon?

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:15 - Jun 6 with 2362 views

Pinewoodblue

33% never voted for him last time preferring Jeremy Hunt….we are all doomed.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 11:19 - Jun 6 with 2336 views

tractordownsouth

Johnson 203
Against 156

[Post edited 6 Jun 2022 11:19]

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Boris vote sweepstake on 11:22 - Jun 6 with 2335 views

MattinLondon

Doesn’t that all depend on the PMs popularity with the country in six months? If by some horrible misfortune he is popular will the parliamentary party still try to get rid of him? Has there every been a party leader, who was popular with country, but deeply unpopular with MPs and ousted?

Boris vote sweepstake on 12:08 - Jun 6 with 2229 views

lowhouseblue

125 against. which means that the end ought to be nigh.

And so as the loose-bowelled pigeon of time swoops low over the unsuspecting tourist of destiny, and the flatulent skunk of fate wanders into the air-conditioning system of eternity, I notice it's the end of the show

Boris vote sweepstake on 12:09 - Jun 6 with 2231 views

Guthrum

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:22 - Jun 6 by MattinLondon
Doesn’t that all depend on the PMs popularity with the country in six months? If by some horrible misfortune he is popular will the parliamentary party still try to get rid of him? Has there every been a party leader, who was popular with country, but deeply unpopular with MPs and ousted?

How would he suddenly regain popularity in six months time? He's already cashed in Brexit, debased the Covid response and is not making a great fist of being Hero of Ukraine. Adding in local and by-election defeats, plus poor polling, doesn't leave any cards in his hand.

Apart, perhaps, from "swing to the right", which is liable to alienate many people, while only confirming those who already back him.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 12:16 - Jun 6 with 2196 views

Guthrum

I'm going to go out on a limb and say he loses 165 to 158, with 36 abstentions.

Purely for the purposes of the sweepstake. I don't really think it's all that likely.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 12:18 - Jun 6 with 2190 views

J2BLUE

Isn't it odd how some Tory MPs are always coming out with what their constituents have told them they want and what they have "heard on the doorstep" and it's a complete 180% from the national mood.

So much for representing us.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 13:52 - Jun 6 with 2034 views

bluelagos

Going to revise my numbers based on the number of MPs publicly stating Johnson's time is up.

Johnson 210
Against 136
Non votes 13

Poll:

This new lockdown poll - what you reckon?

Boris vote sweepstake on 14:02 - Jun 6 with 2004 views

WD19

Boris vote sweepstake on 13:52 - Jun 6 by bluelagos
Going to revise my numbers based on the number of MPs publicly stating Johnson's time is up. Johnson 210 Against 136 Non votes 13

I like this kind of sweepstake.

Johnson TBC
Against TBC
Non votes TBC

Boris vote sweepstake on 14:02 - Jun 6 with 2001 views

unbelievablue

176 for
145 against
38 abstentions

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:07 - Jun 6 with 1986 views

You_Bloo_Right

Confident - 218
Not Confident - 111
Lily-livered - 30

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:16 - Jun 6 with 1941 views

STYG

I'll go for 7 kids from 5 mothers.

EDIT - Sorry. Didn't see 'vote' in the title.

[Post edited 6 Jun 2022 14:17]

Boris vote sweepstake on 14:24 - Jun 6 with 1911 views

WeWereZombies

Boris vote sweepstake on 12:09 - Jun 6 by Guthrum

What if he makes an announcement that if he wins narrowly he will resign and hand over to Liz Truss...and that will be his default position for the next two years? Got to be worth grabbing back fifty votes from those intending to vote 'no confidence' at the moment, plus all the waverers.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:36 - Jun 6 with 1871 views

BlueBadger

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:08 - Jun 6 by BLUEGOLD
I think that guess is pretty accurate. There are probably about 60 letters in and you’d expect another 40 to vote against him. A normal PM would probably quit in the next few weeks. This one is not normal.

A normal PM would have quit the instant it became crystal clear that he's broken the law.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:37 - Jun 6 with 1867 views

BlueBadger

Boris vote sweepstake on 14:36 - Jun 6 by BlueBadger
A normal PM would have quit the instant it became crystal clear that he's broken the law.

Actually a normal PM wouldn't have broken the law in the first place.

Or at least, wouldn't have been caught doing it.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:38 - Jun 6 with 1860 views

BlueBadger

Cowards fearing for their seats: 123
Bootlickers: 187
Cowards with splinters in their arses : 49

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:39 - Jun 6 with 1854 views

StokieBlue

Boris vote sweepstake on 11:08 - Jun 6 by BLUEGOLD
I think that guess is pretty accurate. There are probably about 60 letters in and you’d expect another 40 to vote against him. A normal PM would probably quit in the next few weeks. This one is not normal.

Possibly worth noting that by lunchtime on the day of the May vote she had the backing of 180 MPs. Boris had 91 at the same milestone. Currently it's 101 MPs backing him.

Probably means nothing but does seem to indicate MPs aren't running to their Twitter accounts to support him at the moment. They might still support him but don't seem to want it out there in the public domain at the moment.

I suspect quite a few had deeply unhappy constituents in their ears at Jubilee parties over the weekend.

SB

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:45 - Jun 6 with 1823 views

Ryorry

Boris vote sweepstake on 14:24 - Jun 6 by WeWereZombies
What if he makes an announcement that if he wins narrowly he will resign and hand over to Liz Truss...and that will be his default position for the next two years? Got to be worth grabbing back fifty votes from those intending to vote 'no confidence' at the moment, plus all the waverers.

Stop it, you're scaring me now ...

I'm going to go with Lagos' delicious suggestion of 48%-52% -

153 - carry on being a useful idiot, thanks
166 - your odour is starting to adversely affect my popularity & job prospects, so ðŸ¥¾

40 trembling boneless jellies


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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:47 - Jun 6 with 1818 views

tractordownsouth

Boris vote sweepstake on 12:18 - Jun 6 by J2BLUE
Isn't it odd how some Tory MPs are always coming out with what their constituents have told them they want and what they have "heard on the doorstep" and it's a complete 180% from the national mood. So much for representing us.

My favourites are the ones with sub-5k majorities who still think he's an electoral asset. They're going to get a nasty shock in 2023/4.

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Boris vote sweepstake on 14:49 - Jun 6 with 1800 views

Dubtractor

179 each, one spoiled paper with a Wang drawn on it.

Penalty shoot out to decide the winner.

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