| 1% away 14:30 - Dec 10 with 4800 views | wrightsrightglove |
Sam Morsy didn’t have a great game on Sunday, but I’ve still been singing ‘He’s Egyptian’ to myself all week.
It feels like we’re 1% away from being a mid-table team. The only problem is that 1% is a massive jump at this level. We’re not getting embarrassed as a team and are competing with all of the teams we’d want to be competing with. It’s just that 1% of quality, experience and depth that we’re missing. And actually that makes me proud and shows how much we’ve stepped up already this season. Our squad value is £100million lower than anyone else’s, it’s £250million below the average premier league squad value. Our two most ‘premier league’ players are both 21 and in their first season in the premier league. And yet we’re competing, we’re 1% away.
And yes, that 1% might be the reason we go down. In all honesty I’m not sure what else anyone can do without breaking FFP. And if we do go down, we’ll still be in one of the best positions the club has ever been in. Various ground upgrades, a new training centre, a vastly improved squad compared to a few seasons ago, the club moving in a clear direction with a clear plan, parachute payments and valuable assets.
We’ve got to stick together and stick with the team. Whatever happens this season, we’ve still got our club back.
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| 1% on 14:34 - Dec 10 with 4467 views | TRUE_BLUE123 |
I think we are a very well coached and well set up football team who don't have the quality of players in the squad to regularly turn tight losses/draws in to draws and wins.
To be that team. It takes more than one transfer window. It might even take going up and down a few more times to be that. Its a process.
That being said, with KM in charge part of me still believes we can pull off something special. As you say, got to keep bringing the support. Think our fans have been superb away from home all season, really good noise at every ground. Need to do the same at home. |  |
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| 1% on 14:40 - Dec 10 with 4421 views | Mullet |
I think it’s more like 6 points |  |
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| 1% on 14:42 - Dec 10 with 4400 views | The_Flashing_Smile |
Excellent post, well said. |  |
| Trust the process. Trust Phil. |
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| 1% on 14:45 - Dec 10 with 4382 views | soupytwist |
Given the precedents set, there's a case to be made for breaching PSR and taking the points deduction in the hope that your PSR-busting squad will be good enough to overcome the deficit and stay up anyway. |  | | |
| 1% on 14:49 - Dec 10 with 4336 views | unbelievablue |
It can't really be 1% if it's also a massive jump, surely?
Good post though. |  |
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| 1% on 14:57 - Dec 10 with 4287 views | wrightsrightglove |
| 1% on 14:34 - Dec 10 by TRUE_BLUE123 |
I think we are a very well coached and well set up football team who don't have the quality of players in the squad to regularly turn tight losses/draws in to draws and wins.
To be that team. It takes more than one transfer window. It might even take going up and down a few more times to be that. Its a process.
That being said, with KM in charge part of me still believes we can pull off something special. As you say, got to keep bringing the support. Think our fans have been superb away from home all season, really good noise at every ground. Need to do the same at home. |
Agreed, as I said, I’m not sure what else can be done, we just need time to develop which unfortunately we don’t have the luxury of. But also with you on believing that we can still stay up this season! | | | |
| 1% on 14:58 - Dec 10 with 4279 views | Kievthegreat |
West Ham ruined it a bit last night, but at one point, we had identical goals against and 5 goals fewer scored (Now we have 1 less GA and 6 less scored because it ended 2-1 rather than 1-0).
Those five goals equates to 9 points. The margins are very fine in this league. Our last 4 defeats have all been by just a single goal. We're incredibly close to turning some of those defeats into draws and draws into defeats. That's why despite not getting the points haul thus far, we shouldn't write the team off. Even a small incremental improvement could drastically change our outlook. |  | | |
| 1% on 15:02 - Dec 10 with 4258 views | Trequartista |
Could you change the title please to something not starting with a number. Forum bug means it's not readable or replyable to in thread mode. |  |
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| 1% on 15:06 - Dec 10 with 4221 views | The_Flashing_Smile |
| 1% on 14:49 - Dec 10 by unbelievablue |
It can't really be 1% if it's also a massive jump, surely?
Good post though. |
Think of it like horse racing. If a horse is 1% quicker than all the rest, then although it doesn't seem like much, breeding a horse that will be better would still be a huge ask. And the horse that's 1% quicker will be worth many many times more than the others (certainly a lot more than 1% more). | |
| Trust the process. Trust Phil. |
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| 1% on 15:09 - Dec 10 with 4205 views | unbelievablue |
| 1% on 15:06 - Dec 10 by The_Flashing_Smile |
Think of it like horse racing. If a horse is 1% quicker than all the rest, then although it doesn't seem like much, breeding a horse that will be better would still be a huge ask. And the horse that's 1% quicker will be worth many many times more than the others (certainly a lot more than 1% more). |
I think we're way more than 1% off regardless of the analogy. | |
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| 1% on 15:12 - Dec 10 with 4189 views | giant_stow |
| 1% on 15:09 - Dec 10 by unbelievablue |
I think we're way more than 1% off regardless of the analogy. |
According to my calculations, you lot need to be 55% better.
Good Op though - is the author a Vicar? The constant returning to the 1% theme reminds me of a sermon.... well constructed stuff. |  |
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| 1% on 15:16 - Dec 10 with 4155 views | wrightsrightglove |
| 1% on 15:09 - Dec 10 by unbelievablue |
I think we're way more than 1% off regardless of the analogy. |
Yes quite possibly more than 1%, it was just to illustrate the point but if everyone in our last game was 1% fitter, if our bench was 1% stronger, if each player was 1% better, if decision making was 1% quicker etc etc then I think we would have won the game but I get your point. Just trying to say I don’t think we’re far off it in terms of performance which is something to be proud of | | | |
| 1% on 15:18 - Dec 10 with 4144 views | wrightsrightglove |
| 1% on 15:12 - Dec 10 by giant_stow |
According to my calculations, you lot need to be 55% better.
Good Op though - is the author a Vicar? The constant returning to the 1% theme reminds me of a sermon.... well constructed stuff. |
Not a vicar no but I will take the compliment! | | | |
| 1% on 15:18 - Dec 10 with 4138 views | unbelievablue |
| 1% on 15:16 - Dec 10 by wrightsrightglove |
Yes quite possibly more than 1%, it was just to illustrate the point but if everyone in our last game was 1% fitter, if our bench was 1% stronger, if each player was 1% better, if decision making was 1% quicker etc etc then I think we would have won the game but I get your point. Just trying to say I don’t think we’re far off it in terms of performance which is something to be proud of |
Yeah, gotcha. I have a lot of cognitive dissonance going on this season. Proud, but disappointed. Frustrated, but understanding. Resigned, but hopeful. | |
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| 1% on 15:23 - Dec 10 with 4097 views | WD19 |
| 1% on 15:09 - Dec 10 by unbelievablue |
I think we're way more than 1% off regardless of the analogy. |
Based on points we are about 50% off.
So I think we can agree that we are somewhere between 1-50% off.
I hope that has cleared things up. |  | | |
| 1% on 15:29 - Dec 10 with 3990 views | giant_stow |
| 1% on 15:18 - Dec 10 by wrightsrightglove |
Not a vicar no but I will take the compliment! |
So you should! | |
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| 1% on 15:31 - Dec 10 with 3986 views | itfc_statman |
We're a lot more than 1% off.
Statistically, the midtable teams al sit around a minus xGD of 1.5
On a Per 90 basis you need to be around -0.35 xGD - so yeah, you concede a bit more than you let in but not by much.
Our xGD is -17.4 with an xGD per 90 of -1.16
Statistically it's up there with the ever-growing list of worst-ever prem teams.
Annoyingly we'd seem some real progression in a 5 game spell but the last 3 or 4 have seen a real downward turn again. | | | |
| 1% away on 15:47 - Dec 10 with 3817 views | Radlett_blue |
The biggest problem is how we deteriorate in the second half of games, which often last for 55 minutes. This is because our bench players are sub-standard & injuries obviously have made this worse. Last season, he 5 subs rule worked in our favour & we often turned games around in the last 20 minutes; now, the opposite is happening. It gives McKenna more of a dilemma - he knows our bench players aren't nearly as good as those they are replacing, so he's reluctant to make subs if things are going OK. |  |
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| 1% away on 16:21 - Dec 10 with 3693 views | bsw72 |
| 1% away on 15:47 - Dec 10 by Radlett_blue |
The biggest problem is how we deteriorate in the second half of games, which often last for 55 minutes. This is because our bench players are sub-standard & injuries obviously have made this worse. Last season, he 5 subs rule worked in our favour & we often turned games around in the last 20 minutes; now, the opposite is happening. It gives McKenna more of a dilemma - he knows our bench players aren't nearly as good as those they are replacing, so he's reluctant to make subs if things are going OK. |
Suggests that we are more than 1% away.
Seems more like we are at around 90% at a team performance level over the 90+ minutes, and maybe 75%-95% at an individual player level compared to an average established top flight equivalent. |  | | |
| 1% on 16:52 - Dec 10 with 3593 views | The_Flashing_Smile |
| 1% on 15:09 - Dec 10 by unbelievablue |
I think we're way more than 1% off regardless of the analogy. |
Well it's all a matter of opinion, and not a thing you can quantify by a number, but we haven't been getting trounced in games and most of our losses/points dropped have been by narrow margins. | |
| Trust the process. Trust Phil. |
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| 1% on 17:53 - Dec 10 with 3415 views | EdwardStone |
| 1% on 15:12 - Dec 10 by giant_stow |
According to my calculations, you lot need to be 55% better.
Good Op though - is the author a Vicar? The constant returning to the 1% theme reminds me of a sermon.... well constructed stuff. |
I reckon he's a multi-squillionaire..... one of the favoured few who own 95% of the World's wealth
Either that or a Hells Angel |  | | |
| 1% away on 21:52 - Dec 10 with 3082 views | reusersfreekicks |
Agree mostly but probably 5+% |  | | |
| 1% away on 07:30 - Dec 11 with 2689 views | Blue_In_Boston |
I think the nature of the defeat on Sunday glossed over how much better Bournemouth were than us. Conceding two late goals has us feeling sorry for ourselves, in reality Bournemouth should have been in front at half time.
They then went on to boss the second half, we rode our luck for 80+ minutes. There is a lot more than 1% we need, we barely layed a glove on Palace who are also struggling.
Being away to Wolves could be a bonus, get the crowd on their back whilst their confidence is low - you never know. | | | |
| 1% on 09:05 - Dec 11 with 2583 views | hoppy |
| 1% on 15:02 - Dec 10 by Trequartista |
Could you change the title please to something not starting with a number. Forum bug means it's not readable or replyable to in thread mode. |
Maybe it’s time for you to upgrade to table view… |  |
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| 1% away on 09:12 - Dec 11 with 2567 views | Radlett_blue |
| 1% away on 07:30 - Dec 11 by Blue_In_Boston |
I think the nature of the defeat on Sunday glossed over how much better Bournemouth were than us. Conceding two late goals has us feeling sorry for ourselves, in reality Bournemouth should have been in front at half time.
They then went on to boss the second half, we rode our luck for 80+ minutes. There is a lot more than 1% we need, we barely layed a glove on Palace who are also struggling.
Being away to Wolves could be a bonus, get the crowd on their back whilst their confidence is low - you never know. |
O'Neill will be gone if Wolves fail to beat us and/or Leicester in their next game. As someone else said, let's keep it tight in the first half & better still, nick a goal & then the atmosphere could get toxic. | |
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