| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager 22:02 - Sep 23 with 889 views | BondiBlue |
“So the optimal strategy for a club would seem to be to allow a manager a honeymoon period of 8 games, and then sack him if his weighted average performance with a smoothing value of 0.121 (putting 47% of the weight on the last five games) falls below 0.74 points per game.
If a club follows this strategy it can expect to obtain 56.81 points per season. It can expect to employ 5.7 managers on average over the ten seasons, and the average quality of those managers will be 3/5ths of the way between good and excellent. To put this into perspective, 56.81 points would have secured a finishing position of 10th, 8th, 8th, 6th, 8th and 8th in the six seasons so far of a 20-club Premiership.”
https://www.jbs.cam.ac.uk/fileadmin/user_upload/faculty/downloads/hope_when_sack |  | | |  |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:16 - Sep 23 with 813 views | Guthrum |
I up-thumbed this not so much because I think it would be a good idea to adopt such a brutally stats-based approach, but because I like the idea someone's sat down and worked all that out. |  |
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| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:23 - Sep 23 with 775 views | King_ding_a_lin_g |
Absolute nonsense |  | | |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:23 - Sep 23 with 770 views | monty_radio |
Fear not - I forsee us beating Birmingham 1.7 - 0.4 | |
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| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:30 - Sep 23 with 748 views | BryanPlug |
In investing parlance, there is the term “bag holder”. This is the name given to those who buy a stock that subsequently continues to drop in value. They are essentially clinging onto an ever decreasing asset because they hope it will recover and they will recoup their losses. This could be the case with a failing manager in that there is hope that he will turn it around, when in fact he is doomed to failure. Or perhaps he can turn it around. Who knows? |  | | |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:47 - Sep 23 with 658 views | Marshalls_Mullet |
| Someone wrote a paper on when to sack a manager on 22:30 - Sep 23 by BryanPlug |
In investing parlance, there is the term “bag holder”. This is the name given to those who buy a stock that subsequently continues to drop in value. They are essentially clinging onto an ever decreasing asset because they hope it will recover and they will recoup their losses. This could be the case with a failing manager in that there is hope that he will turn it around, when in fact he is doomed to failure. Or perhaps he can turn it around. Who knows? |
Surely the bag holder sometimes does ok from holding their stock. |  |
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